What happens with a narrow GOP house majority and Democrat senate majority?

[Cyrusman]

How would the next two years go if the GOP has a narrow majority  in the house and Democrats have a narrow senate majority? Let’s say the GOP flips 15 seats to have a small majority and lets say the democrats have a great night in the senate and net 1-2 seats for a total of 51-52. What gets done and how does the next 2 years go?

[Cyrusman]

Mods please move this to the congressional non polls section

[brucejoel99]

Judges, judges, & more judges.

[Ogre Mage]

Biden's legislative agenda will be dead.  So he will push his agenda through judicial and executive branch appointments and federal agency action.

[Brittain33]

Government shutdowns where McCarthy can’t actually get his caucus to vote for whatever deal he works out with the Dems. It’s going to be 🔥

[new_patomic]

Depending on how narrow a majority it is, do the Republicans even have the unity to elect a Speaker?

[Mr. Smith]

Perhaps this time Dems bother to restructure, or at least someone else is Minority Leader...not betting any lives on this of course.

[ultraviolet]

Why are people so sure McCarthy can’t get his people in line? Surely even they’d recognize the stakes and that no one besides him could win the speakership

[Dani Rose]

A narrow GOP house accomplishes absolutely nothing but schadenfreude, but margin determines everything in the Senate. 51-49 is good for nominees and judges, but 52-48 - all seats held plus Fetterman and most likely Barnes - probably kills the filibuster.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

A narrow GOP house accomplishes absolutely nothing but schadenfreude, but margin determines everything in the Senate. 51-49 is good for nominees and judges, but 52-48 - all seats held plus Fetterman and most likely Barnes - probably kills the filibuster.

Even if the filibuster is nuked it is pointless, because whatever the senate passes will fail in a GOP house. I doubt Dems are gonna try to kill the filibuster knowing they will accomplish nothing while doing it.

[Minnesota Mike]

Judges, judges, & more judges.

This. Plus impeachments in the House and acquittals in the Senate. TFG will insist on paybacks.

[Ferguson97]

Weekly government shutdowns and an historical number of judicial nominations.

[Proud Family Values]

Nothing but using each as the base from which to throw missiles at the opposition.  The goal is to win the other chamber in the next election, not to come together and make everyone look like they're actually governing.  I think the Senate is the bigger deal since it's got control of the judges.  The House doesn't seem to have much clout unless its a trifecta and even then the Senate is the bigger deal because of the filibuster.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

It's not over yet let's see if D's can win OH, NC and FL and win wave insurance so they can win the H, Sheila Jackson Lee and Bernie Sanders said yesterday that they are praying that happens so we don't wind up with Divided Govt, as I said many times Early voting VBM is starting in several weeks approvals don't matter that much when it gets this close

Vance, Budd and DeSantis and Rubio even in a Neutral Environment can lose because of Blk and Brown even if we lose the H we need OH, NC and FL so we don't end up with 52 seats we need wave insurance for 24 Senate too that's why Bernie said it's important not to hold the H but the Senate and he said we need lots of Senators meaning more than 52

OH, NC and FL aren't over all the R candidates are only up 5 or less if that's the case they're gonna be too close to ca too early to call , on EDay it's not over until it's over

That's why it's good to make wave insurance maps not exact maps I made and exact map I'm 2008/12 and got NC, FL and IN wrong and 2012 FL you are gonna be mad if your endorsed candidate wins and predicted they lose so many users predicted Ossoff and WARNOCK to lose in GE and couldn't update their maps for the Runoff I made them both D before the prediction closed

I look at predictions all the time Xing made an exact map last time and got GA wrong

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

Government shutdowns where McCarthy can’t actually get his caucus to vote for whatever deal he works out with the Dems. It’s going to be 🔥

Forget government shutdowns, the real thing to worry about is, as always, the single dumbest part of American politics - the debt ceiling.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Vance is up 5 in a Traggy poll, Budd is tied in NC and DeSantis is up 5 against Crist and Laura Kelly is down only 3 in KS we can get a 2012 EDay with D's looking at a 52)55 Senate but Rs net the H it can happen, that's why we vote not go explicitly by polls otherwise polls would stand and we would not have to vote Biden Approvals we're high enough in AK and NY 19 two seats that were lost to Rs before EDay I said we were gonna lose both AK and NY I said make it up in Nov

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

That's what user prediction is for to make wave insurance maps not exact maps, if we go by exact maps we wouldn't have user prediction we would just blog and go by ratings

But, Rs have no problem making untrue maps, MT Treasure has NM and ME going R, lol

[icc]

If the Rs can’t get their act together / take a long time to and elect a Speaker, what happens in the meantime? Does Pelosi continue as the incumbent, or is the position vacant?

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

If the Rs can’t get their act together / take a long time to and elect a Speaker, what happens in the meantime? Does Pelosi continue as the incumbent, or is the position vacant?

Historically there have been periods where the position was vacant, but I'm not sure what the modern rules are in that situation.

[หมูเด้ง]

Judges, judges, & more judges.

Believe me!

[Orser67]

Probably looks a lot like 2011-2014. As others have commented: judges and possibly government shutdowns.

Hopefully there could be a bit of a truce to keep spending at roughly the status quo through the 2024 election, but I expect at least some saber rattling on the right, especially from the Freedom Caucus. Expect to hear the term "debt ceiling" a lot.

[MABA 2020]

A lot of nothing

[Progressive Pessimist]

Why are people so sure McCarthy can’t get his people in line? Surely even they’d recognize the stakes and that no one besides him could win the speakership

Because the majority he will have will be more depraved than any past GOP majority. The Marjorie Taylor Green's are outnumbering the Ken Bucks now, who became the mainstream and used to be the most extreme Republicans.

[John Fettercuck]

Judges and a sh*tshow.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

Judges and a sh*tshow.

Speaker of the House Lord Buckethead