WI GOV TRAFALGAR TIED RACE
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Author Topic: WI GOV TRAFALGAR TIED RACE  (Read 1385 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: August 28, 2022, 04:25:43 PM »

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1563999823841427456?t=udNSGMroY8y02jSV9Kq87w&s=19

GOV EVERS 48
Michels 48
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2022, 04:32:12 PM »

Decent starting point. Hammer the abortion issue all the way to November and we can win this.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2022, 05:19:28 PM »

LOL at Rojo underperforming Michels
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2022, 05:23:23 PM »

Thank you Trafalgar! Let's keep this excitement up until November...
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2016
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2022, 05:28:47 PM »

Makes sense. Johnson has very high negatives.

EVERS IS DONE! Undecideds will break hard against him. No more lockdowns, Mask Mandates and School Closures!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2022, 06:08:01 PM »

While not quite as exciting as their Senate poll here, I would rather see a tie in a Trafalgar poll than a Republican leading. Still a tossup.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2022, 08:04:16 PM »

The inclusion of that 3rd party vote really seems to take almost all of the vote from Evers and not Michels for whatever reason.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2022, 10:49:24 PM »

The inclusion of that 3rd party vote really seems to take almost all of the vote from Evers and not Michels for whatever reason.

Lol this is Traggy poll they said Laxalt was up by 2 and Suffolk had CCM up by 8 but she will win 51)49 Michels isn't Kleefisch the Fox news poll had Evers up 3
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2022, 01:38:41 AM »

Not bad given the pollster, I'm just not sure Barnes will actually outrun Evers. If there's a split outcome, Evers/Johnson would be more likely.

Tossup/Tilt D.
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Property Representative of the Harold Holt Swimming Centre
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2022, 04:33:16 AM »

I heard there's a punch-up insides the offices of this polling company.

It's being called the Battle of Trafalgar.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2022, 04:44:59 AM »

They say Traggy underestimates D's by 1 or 2 points look at NV poll showing Laxalt ahead of CCM and Suffolk shows CCM ahead but she isn't 7 ahead she will win 51/49

But, even they have it a blue wall that's good we can expand to OH, NC and FL
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2022, 08:02:34 AM »

Not bad given the pollster, I'm just not sure Barnes will actually outrun Evers. If there's a split outcome, Evers/Johnson would be more likely.

Tossup/Tilt D.

It's the inclusion of the 3rd party/independent candidate. We saw the same thing in the Marquette poll - for some reason, a chunk of Barnes voters pick the indy for GOV.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2022, 11:05:19 AM »

It’s very weird to see Barnes doing better in every poll. That could change, and it could be due to Johnson currently having more recognition than Michels (and negative favorables at that), and we’ll see if that’s still the case in a few months.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2022, 11:10:54 AM »

It’s very weird to see Barnes doing better in every poll. That could change, and it could be due to Johnson currently having more recognition than Michels (and negative favorables at that), and we’ll see if that’s still the case in a few months.

It's the 3rd party vote.

Michels/Johnson usually get about the same vote, but when the Indy is included in the GOV vote, it seems to take 1-2% away from Evers each time.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2022, 05:47:50 PM »

Makes sense. Johnson has very high negatives.

EVERS IS DONE! Undecideds will break hard against him. No more lockdowns, Mask Mandates and School Closures!

Fun Fact: Wisconsin has not had a mask mandate since May 2020, 2.5 years ago.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2022, 05:17:58 PM »


Cool. Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: August 30, 2022, 07:56:45 PM »


You said the samething about NM and Grisham is ahead 47/40
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #17 on: August 30, 2022, 08:19:13 PM »


For an incumbent of a likely D state, that’s awful.
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citizenZ
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2022, 03:53:01 AM »

I have a feeling the Republicans wind up squeaking this one out by the narrowest of margins.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2022, 08:43:53 AM »

I have a feeling the Republicans wind up squeaking this one out by the narrowest of margins.

I just assume Republicans will win so im not disappointed. I think your right though.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2022, 11:12:06 AM »


Completely unsurprising.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: August 31, 2022, 06:52:38 PM »


Sure. But Wisconsin is far from a likely D state.

If anything Michels should be doing better in running against someone as vulnerable as Evers.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2022, 08:21:02 PM »


Sure. But Wisconsin is far from a likely D state.

If anything Michels should be doing better in running against someone as vulnerable as Evers.

I meant New Mexico as the likely D state
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: August 31, 2022, 08:22:06 PM »


Sure. But Wisconsin is far from a likely D state.

If anything Michels should be doing better in running against someone as vulnerable as Evers.

I meant New Mexico as the likely D state

Oh, I missed that.

You're actually right about that.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #24 on: September 01, 2022, 01:36:45 AM »


Sure. But Wisconsin is far from a likely D state.

If anything Michels should be doing better in running against someone as vulnerable as Evers.

I meant New Mexico as the likely D state

Oh, I missed that.

You're actually right about that.

I honestly think Wisconsin will be an easier flip for Rs than Kansas, meanwhile I think New Mexico will be the Virginia of this cycle.
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