WI-SEN (Trafalgar): Barnes +2
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  WI-SEN (Trafalgar): Barnes +2
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Author Topic: WI-SEN (Trafalgar): Barnes +2  (Read 2941 times)
Comrade Funk
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« on: August 28, 2022, 04:21:22 PM »

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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2022, 04:23:42 PM »

Proof that Barnes will win
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2022, 04:25:39 PM »

When even Trafalgar shows a tossup race it has to worry Republicans.
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Person Man
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2022, 04:25:51 PM »

When you are down in internals, no amount of secret Republicans can save you.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2022, 04:28:50 PM »

We really should have forced this idiot to retire and gotten Gallagher or Steil in his place.
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Darthpi Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2022, 04:29:07 PM »

Okay, that's a holy crap moment. Was not expecting to see Barnes ahead in a Trafalgar poll.

Senate is definitely at least tilting D at this point.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2022, 04:32:23 PM »

When even Trashfalger has you losing.
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GM Team Member WB
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2022, 04:32:42 PM »

Lean R -> Tossup, I really didn't expect dems to have any pickup opportunities past PA but things really have turned around the past few months.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2022, 04:33:05 PM »

Whoa.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2022, 04:35:01 PM »

I am genuinely shocked. This is now a toss-up. I hope Barnes can actually pull this off but Im skeptical.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2022, 04:36:53 PM »

Well, that's a surprise.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2022, 04:39:59 PM »

MQK POLL HAS HAD BARNES UP IN EVERY POLL
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2022, 04:44:46 PM »

I think its pretty undeniable that Barnes is winning right now. If the election was on Tuesday I think hed win. But I think Russ Feingold wouldve won in late August too. Patience.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2022, 05:00:27 PM »

That's definitely unexpected.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2022, 05:08:39 PM »

Tossup if Trafalgar is indeed the new gold standard. Things could get better for the GOP, or they might now.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2022, 05:16:07 PM »

Is the Senate more likely to go D at the moment? yes. But this race? No.

I mean yes this gives me pause because of the pollster but. still, fools gold.

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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2022, 05:25:25 PM »

I'll just say this, while Rojo may have been a strong candidate at one point, candidate quality can change. Rick Scott went from only winning by 1 pt in an Obama +1 state in an r wave year to winning in a democratic wave year in the same state that was only Trump +2.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2022, 05:31:01 PM »

For the record I fundamentally with my fellow democrats posters who are saying "Trafalgar is trash".


While they are not all the time correct, they are still a good polling firm overall
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Darthpi Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2022, 05:35:09 PM »

For the record I fundamentally with my fellow democrats posters who are saying "Trafalgar is trash".


While they are not all the time correct, they are still a good polling firm overall

They've been quite good in Midwestern states like Wisconsin in particular. A bit less reliable outside of that region, though still not bad.

I do still think some of their methods are frustratingly opaque, but they're definitely one of the pollsters I am paying the most attention to this year.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2022, 05:39:17 PM »

For the record I fundamentally with my fellow democrats posters who are saying "Trafalgar is trash".


While they are not all the time correct, they are still a good polling firm overall

It's a 302 map anyways MQK poll had Barnes up and Fox news
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« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2022, 05:43:26 PM »

We really should have forced this idiot to retire and gotten Gallagher or Steil in his place.
I agree. Gallagher or Steil would have won easily.

Consider this: Mandela Barnes is to the left of Tammy Baldwin. Barnes should have never ever gotten anywhere near getting a Senate Seat but because of Ron Johnsons high personal negatives he might just win. That being said he will live on borrowed time if he gets to Washington. The last 3 Wisconsin Statwide Elections for POTUS & Governor during 2016, 2018 and 2020 were very close. Wisconsin will look very different, more to the right, in 2028 I think.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2022, 05:44:32 PM »

For the record I fundamentally with my fellow democrats posters who are saying "Trafalgar is trash".


While they are not all the time correct, they are still a good polling firm overall

It's a 302 map anyways MQK poll had Barnes up and Fox news
LOL, FOX NEWS, Marquette and now Trafalgar have the Race all within the Margin of Error.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2022, 06:09:15 PM »

For the record I fundamentally with my fellow democrats posters who are saying "Trafalgar is trash".


While they are not all the time correct, they are still a good polling firm overall

Im pretty sure they make up their numbers.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2022, 06:22:48 PM »

It's happening! We have a tossup on our hands! 52 seats is a real possibility, and even if Barnes doesn't end up winning in the end, Republicans are going to be spread thin more in having to invest in defending Johnson now. It makes the hill of gaining a Senate majority again even steeper to climb. So a pretty dreadful poll for Republicans overall from one of the few polling firms they have respect for (or did).
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Doug Burgum Stan
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« Reply #24 on: August 28, 2022, 06:23:19 PM »

Doesn't Trafalgar know that this is a Biden Midterm and that candidate quality doesn't matter? I've been assured that it is impossible for Democrats to win this race or pick up seats in the Senate, so I'm just going to assume that Trafalgar is biased towards the Democrats in the Midwest now.
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