NM Gov (ABQ Journal): Grisham 47 - Ronchetti 40

[Minnesota Mike]

https://www.abqjournal.com/2527965/lujan-grisham-has-7point-lead-over-ronchetti.html

A total of 47% of likely voters surveyed last week said they would vote for Lujan Grisham, who is seeking reelection to a second four-year term, while 40% said they planned to vote for Ronchetti, a former KRQE-TV meteorologist who easily won a five-way GOP primary in June.

The remaining voters surveyed included 5% who said they planned to vote for Libertarian Karen Bedonie and 8% who were still undecided.

[President Johnson]

47% is room to grow, the margin is possible though. As of today, I'd predict 52-46%.

Lean Democratic -> Lean Democratic.

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

Good news

[KaiserDave]

Reports indicate a man wearing a space blanket desperately crossed the street to grab his neighbors copy of the Albuquerque Journal to see this poll.

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

This proves to Rs there is no R wave Rs keep pointing to NM flipping as proof of R wave it's not flipping

The reason why it was so close in yrs past because of Gary Johnson it's a blue state now

[TheTide]

If (note that word quite significantly) November is a brutal GOP wave, then this will be one of the main symbolisms of it (i.e. if Ronchetti pulls it off narrowly).

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

If D's are leading then they will hold that lead because early voting is gonna begin at the end of September that's why Barnes and Fetterman both win

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Yes, Grisham will get at least 47% but you cannot convince me Ronchetti will get only 40 lol

[wbrocks67]

Yes, Grisham will get at least 47% but you cannot convince me Ronchetti will get only 40 lol

there's 8% undecided so no, he's not going to be only getting 40.

Either way, I think Grisham +7 sounds about right. She'll underperform her 2018 margin but still get a decent sized win.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Good to see. Perhaps the upset potential of this race is declining. I expect a mid-single digit win for Lujan Grisham in the end.