CO-GOV (Trafalgar): Polis +5

[wbrocks67]

Polis (D) 47%
Ganahl (R) 42%
Ruskusky (L) 4%
Other 2%
Undecided 5%

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/TRF-CO-General-0823-Poll-Report.pdf

[Progressive Pessimist]

Bulls***! Okay, now you got me, I am finally convinced that Trafalgar is in fact full of it outside of the Midwest and South.

Polis is the most popular Democratic Governor in the country in a state that is increasingly lurching left. Double that margin and it's probably his floor.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Trafalgar is pretty solid but every gold star pollster has its misses and I suspect this is one of them

[wbrocks67]

Trafalgar is pretty solid but every gold star pollster has its misses and I suspect this is one of them

Their track record in the West and sunbelt (CA, AZ, NV, etc.) has been particularly awful

[Lief 🗽]

Colorado governor and senate are both titanium rock solid safe D after Dobbs.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These are Traggy polls that have R biases just remember that when users think they are the Gold standard

[Alben Barkley]

TRAshFAiLGARbage.

[Duke of York]

TRAshFAiLGARbage.

they were spot on in 2020.

[wbrocks67]

TRAshFAiLGARbage.

they were spot on in 2020.

And they were the biggest polling miss in the CA recall in 2021. Their track record is all over the place, especially in the West.

[Alben Barkley]

TRAshFAiLGARbage.

they were spot on in 2020.

Only in certain states/regions. And they were trash in 2018 and most other years.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Not to mention Jared Polis has a +18 net approval rating.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Trafalgar impressed in 2020 in a lot of states, but this poll is looking like a roflcopter moment to me.

Who knows, maybe they're on to something, but I have *substantial* doubts.

[Duke of York]

Trafalgar impressed in 2020 in a lot of states, but this poll is looking like a roflcopter moment to me.

Who knows, maybe they're on to something, but I have *substantial* doubts.

Considering how accurate they where in 2020 I think they are on to something but only time will tell.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trafalgar impressed in 2020 in a lot of states, but this poll is looking like a roflcopter moment to me.

Who knows, maybe they're on to something, but I have *substantial* doubts.

Considering how accurate they where in 2020 I think they are on to something but only time will tell.

I'm always willing to give them the benefit of the doubt since both 2016 and 2020, but I just can't with this.

In the Nevada threads regarding Trafalgar polls it was pointed out that they were quite inaccurate in both 2018 and 2020 despite successes elsewhere. So their Colorado polls suggest to me that it may in fact be true that they fly more blind in the West for whatever reason.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Trafalgar impressed in 2020 in a lot of states, but this poll is looking like a roflcopter moment to me.

Who knows, maybe they're on to something, but I have *substantial* doubts.

Considering how accurate they where in 2020 I think they are on to something but only time will tell.

I'm always willing to give them the benefit of the doubt since both 2016 and 2020, but I just can't with this.

In the Nevada threads regarding Trafalgar polls it was pointed out that they were quite inaccurate in both 2018 and 2020 despite successes elsewhere. So their Colorado polls suggest to me that it may in fact be true that they fly more blind in the West for whatever reason.

Because latinos are low propensity Dem voters. If they continue to swing massively gop that might change but they are one of the few dem groups that are harder to poll

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

I wouldn't be all that shocked if the final result was basically just on the margin of error for this poll in Polis' favor, but yeah, this is likely D just short of safe, as it should be.

[citizenZ]

5% in a purple state during a Republican year doesn't seem farfetched.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

5% in a purple state during a Republican year doesn't seem farfetched.

It's Colorado

[Eraserhead]

5% in a purple state during a Republican year doesn't seem farfetched.

This isn't 2004, dawg. Colorado isn't purple anymore.

[Cyrusman]

5% in a purple state during a Republican year doesn't seem farfetched.

This isn't 2004, dawg. Colorado isn't purple anymore.

honestly it wasn't purple in 2004 either. More like 2008-2016

[Eraserhead]

5% in a purple state during a Republican year doesn't seem farfetched.

This isn't 2004, dawg. Colorado isn't purple anymore.

honestly it wasn't purple in 2004 either. More like 2008-2016

It was only slightly to the right of the nation in the 2004 Presidential election.