Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 33,079
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
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« on: August 22, 2022, 05:36:28 PM » |
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Trafalgar has been polling a lot lately. Might we see some from them in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin next?
Anyway, as for this particular poll, I'm glad I kept my expectations for this race tempered. It would probably take a Democratic tsunami for Ryan to be able to win here, and that would probably be just scraping by too. It's not his fault really, his campaign seems to be pretty good, it would have to be for the GOP to investing so much money here. But it's Ohio in a Biden midterm, there's only so much he can do.
On the other hand, if this is an accurate prediction (as it usually is with Trafalgar in the Midwest) it's really not all that impressive for Vance. I suppose we can take solace in that, and it perhaps is an indication that the GOP is doing worse than they should be this year as other fundamentals and polls indicate.
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