MI-Gov, Blueprint Polling: Whitmer 51 Dixon 39

[Minnesota Mike]

https://chismstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Whitmer-With-Solid-Lead-in-Race-for-Gov.pdf

[Roll Roons]

This could be like NJ where it ends up being close because of all the undecideds breaking to Dixon, but Whitmer has to like that she's above 50%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These polls are going against the Rs directions it doesn't even matter about ratings D's are gonna sweep

[CityofSinners]

Whitmer at 51 is a quite plausible end result. Dixon at 39 not really

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Whitmer at 51 is a quite plausible end result. Dixon at 39 not really

I think it's consensus that for polls the Democrat gets whatever number they are at. Give the GOP like all the undecideds and the ones that go Dem make up for the polling error.

[Duke of York]

Whitmer at 51 is a quite plausible end result. Dixon at 39 not really

I think it's consensus that for polls the Democrat gets whatever number they are at. Give the GOP like all the undecideds and the ones that go Dem make up for the polling error.

Hochul in New York will therefore win 51/49? I very much disagree with your assessment.

[Minnesota Mike]

Whitmer at 51 is a quite plausible end result. Dixon at 39 not really

I think it's consensus that for polls the Democrat gets whatever number they are at. Give the GOP like all the undecideds and the ones that go Dem make up for the polling error.

No, that is definitely not the consensus. Undecideds never break exclusively one way. They may break more heavily one way than the other but never 100%. That's not saying the baseline numbers are not wrong or things won't change before election day.

[seskoog]

It will probably be closer than 12 points, but Dixon has very low odds of actually winning.