NC (Cygnal) race tied at 42
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  NC (Cygnal) race tied at 42
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Author Topic: NC (Cygnal) race tied at 42  (Read 478 times)
SaneDemocrat
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« on: August 18, 2022, 11:40:54 AM »
« edited: August 18, 2022, 11:45:46 AM by GeorgiaModerate »

https://www.johnlocke.org/polls/budd-and-beasley-in-dead-heat/ (R)

Recalled Vote:Trump +3
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2022, 11:45:20 AM »

Conducted by Cygnal for the John Locke Foundation.  August 13-15, 615 LV

https://www.johnlocke.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/19971-JLF-NC-Toplines.pdf

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2022, 11:47:02 AM »

Proof that it's a Blk and Brown EDay and white female vote too as well as white males 55/45 White female vote D and 85% of Blk and Brown vote D

We're gonna win OH, NC and FL just like Steve Konraki has it on his Big board if Mary Peltola is close then it's a blue wave Palin or Begich was gonna walk away with that seat she may not win the Runoff but in Nov she can win with split vote
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2022, 11:47:14 AM »
« Edited: August 18, 2022, 11:54:42 AM by wbrocks67 »

Well, 42-42 certainly isn't helpful but this being an R internal showing a tied race to me shows that the other polls showing a close race as well aren't likely wrong.

update - this exact pollster and same sponsor also had this race Budd +5 (45-40) in June pre-Dobbs too

https://www.johnlocke.org/polls/three-fourths-of-north-carolinians-say-were-in-a-recession/
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Devils30
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2022, 12:38:36 PM »

Well, 42-42 certainly isn't helpful but this being an R internal showing a tied race to me shows that the other polls showing a close race as well aren't likely wrong.

update - this exact pollster and same sponsor also had this race Budd +5 (45-40) in June pre-Dobbs too

https://www.johnlocke.org/polls/three-fourths-of-north-carolinians-say-were-in-a-recession/

The funny thing is the Dems have a fairly clear roadmap if they are to erase Trump's 1.35% win. On election shuffler, you can just shift the major counties (Watuga, Buncombe, Mecklenberg, Cabarras, Wake, Durham, New Hanover) about 3% D and a handful of majority black counties 1% D and that erases the deficit. Not saying it will happen but if white college is a larger % of the 2022 electorate and Beasley improves a tad with rural blacks you can see the path.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2022, 01:52:52 PM »

Worthless, and I guess a majority of undecided lean Republican.

It's too unfortunate that one will most likely not happen. I'd would really be an addition to have an African American woman in the senate again.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2022, 02:02:35 PM »

Any poll with this many undecideds strikes me as essentially useless.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2022, 03:01:56 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Cygnal on 2022-08-15

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, I: 3%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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