Which do you believe is true? (user search)
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  Which do you believe is true? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
The polls are even further off than they were in 2020, and we’re still headed for a red wave
 
#2
The environment has noticeably shifted in favor of the Democrats
 
#3
Both/the truth is somewhere in between the two
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 100

Author Topic: Which do you believe is true?  (Read 1508 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,416
United States


« on: August 17, 2022, 07:33:42 PM »

Somewhere in between.

I expect the actual results to be drastically different to the polling in recent weeks, which honestly suggests a blue wave environment..

Currently expecting R +2-3

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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,416
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2022, 07:58:26 PM »

Somewhere in between.

I expect the actual results to be drastically different to the polling in recent weeks, which honestly suggests a blue wave environment..

Currently expecting R +2-3



But the results don't indicate a "blue wave" though. A lot of this polling is nearly completely due to GOP nominating horrific candidates in almost every major contest. People really acting like that doesn't have something to do with all of this? Yes, when you nominate sh*tty candidates across the board, sometimes the results WILL make it look like a blue wave when it actuality a lot of it has to do with candidate quality. Dobbs and everything has obviously played a huge decision, but the GOP played itself this entire election season with these candidates...
Fetterman +18 and Barnes +7 is most definitely blue wave territory.. I'm not sure you can suggest different.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,416
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2022, 08:06:52 PM »

Somewhere in between.

I expect the actual results to be drastically different to the polling in recent weeks, which honestly suggests a blue wave environment..

Currently expecting R +2-3



But the results don't indicate a "blue wave" though. A lot of this polling is nearly completely due to GOP nominating horrific candidates in almost every major contest. People really acting like that doesn't have something to do with all of this? Yes, when you nominate sh*tty candidates across the board, sometimes the results WILL make it look like a blue wave when it actuality a lot of it has to do with candidate quality. Dobbs and everything has obviously played a huge decision, but the GOP played itself this entire election season with these candidates...
Fetterman +18 and Barnes +7 is most definitely blue wave territory.. I'm not sure you can suggest different.

Literally read the post right above yours. Guess Tom Wolf was a blue wave in 2014 too!
False equivalence as I'm sure you're aware.. Corbett was a particularly unpopular governor and obviously it's particularly easier for a gov race to not become nationalized.. unlike a senate general.

Anyway Corbett lost by 9.. not exactly comparable to 18 points is it.


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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,416
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2022, 08:17:20 PM »

Somewhere in between.

I expect the actual results to be drastically different to the polling in recent weeks, which honestly suggests a blue wave environment..

Currently expecting R +2-3



But the results don't indicate a "blue wave" though. A lot of this polling is nearly completely due to GOP nominating horrific candidates in almost every major contest. People really acting like that doesn't have something to do with all of this? Yes, when you nominate sh*tty candidates across the board, sometimes the results WILL make it look like a blue wave when it actuality a lot of it has to do with candidate quality. Dobbs and everything has obviously played a huge decision, but the GOP played itself this entire election season with these candidates...
Fetterman +18 and Barnes +7 is most definitely blue wave territory.. I'm not sure you can suggest different.

Literally read the post right above yours. Guess Tom Wolf was a blue wave in 2014 too!
False equivalence as I'm sure you're aware.. Corbett was a particularly unpopular governor and obviously it's particularly easier for a gov race to not become nationalized.. unlike a senate general.

Anyway Corbett lost by 9.. not exactly comparable to 18 points is it.




Stop being so obsessed with one poll. No one thinks Fetterman is gonna win by 18 and no single poll is infallible. That's why we average them out.
I'm not obsessed with anything.. it's the most recent poll we've got of PA so of course I'm going to cite it.
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