PA-SEN (GSG): Fetterman +11
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:36:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2022 Senate & House Election Polls
  PA-SEN (GSG): Fetterman +11
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA-SEN (GSG): Fetterman +11  (Read 669 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,753


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 17, 2022, 02:02:05 PM »

Not sure why it's only being released now, but slightly old - July 14-19

Global Strategy Group poll commissioned by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund

Fetterman (D) 51%
Oz (R) 40%
Undecided 9%

GCB is tied at 46-46, which shows how much Oz is underperforming, and Fetterman overperforming.

https://www.edfaction.org/sites/edactionfund.org/files/EDAFPAClimateSurveyToplines.pdf
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2022, 02:10:43 PM »

Fetterman is Good
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2022, 02:17:21 PM »

Honestly, I would be surprised if Oz won at this point. He’s just not a good candidate and he’s been defined. It will tighten, but part of me thinks the ship has sailed, barring us entering the Great Depression in a month or something.

I do not feel this way about the other competitive senate races.

Yeah, it feels like he totally bungled this. Still remain cautious overall because it's more than two months out. But even if the national environment were to worsen for Democrats again, it may still not be enough to bail Dr. Oz out.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2022, 02:26:57 PM »

I don't buy the margin, but safe to say trying to pretend you can relate to working-class Pennsylvanians when you're a TV celebrity who owns 10 houses and hasn't lived here prior to 2022, while your opponent is the popular sitting lieutenant governor who previously served as mayor of a working-class steel town outside Pittsburgh is *maybe* not the easiest thing to pull off.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2022, 02:32:02 PM »

I don’t think this race is completely lost for the GOP, but the problem is that Oz is showing absolutely no signs of being willing/able to turn this around and time is running out, so we’re pretty close to the point of no return. Not writing this race off yet, but the path of least resistance runs through two of NV/AZ/GA.
Logged
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,594
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2022, 04:11:18 PM »

Oz has basically made this a Lean D race. It would serve him well to right the ship before it becomes Likely.
Logged
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,735


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2022, 04:12:31 PM »

I'm not convinced yet, but if Oz manages to lose this, it'll be an all-time bag fumble.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2022, 11:30:08 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Global Strategy Group on 2022-07-19

Summary: D: 51%, R: 40%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 13 queries.