POS (R) - Shapiro +15
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Author Topic: POS (R) - Shapiro +15  (Read 585 times)
Boobs
HCP
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« on: August 16, 2022, 07:09:12 PM »
Shapiro 50
Mastriano 35

R Group internal.

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2022, 07:12:54 PM »
Yet another poll with Shapiro at or near 50%...

The margin would be believable if Trump was still President.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2022, 07:20:23 PM »
Hopefully this is accurate and this polling firm isn't the other acronym POS could mean (seriously, they couldn't have picked a different acronym?).
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2022, 07:38:14 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on August 16, 2022, 07:12:54 PM
Yet another poll with Shapiro at or near 50%...

The margin would be believable if Trump was still President.

Not necessarily, Wolf won by 10% even in 2014. When you have bad candidates, PA can still possibly defy the conventional wisdom for that year nationally.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2022, 07:39:49 PM »
When you add leaners, it comes out to Shapiro 51, Mastriano 38, with 11% undecided.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2022, 08:17:26 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 16, 2022, 07:38:14 PM
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on August 16, 2022, 07:12:54 PM
Yet another poll with Shapiro at or near 50%...

The margin would be believable if Trump was still President.

Not necessarily, Wolf won by 10% even in 2014. When you have bad candidates, PA can still possibly defy the conventional wisdom for that year nationally.

You're right, but 2014 was a long time ago and politics has become a lot more polarizing. I think Shapiro will win by a pretty comfortable margin, though.
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Devils30
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2022, 08:18:01 PM »
Shapiro is going to approach Rendell numbers in the Philly collar counties.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2022, 09:27:03 PM »
This is over
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2022, 08:24:36 AM »
Lol
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2022, 08:29:38 AM »
Most of the undecideds probably break R in the end, though Shapiro would still win. Moving this to Likely D for the moment.

As of now, I predict Shapiro winning 52-46%.
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