POS (R) - Fetterman +18
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  POS (R) - Fetterman +18
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Author Topic: POS (R) - Fetterman +18  (Read 2333 times)
Boobs
HCP
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« on: August 16, 2022, 07:08:36 PM »

Fetterman 51
Oz 33

R Group internal. 

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2022, 07:10:38 PM »

Anyone still want to call this a Tossup or that Oz is favored?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2022, 07:12:21 PM »

I guess polling this cycle really is going to be worse than 2020.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2022, 07:13:36 PM »

lol

junk it
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2022, 07:15:44 PM »

Lol at the resist libs
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2022, 07:30:42 PM »

I don’t buy too much into polling and I do think there’s a hidden Oz vote but not this much. PA is on the ropes and it might be time to triage. This is on Trump if he wants to compete
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2022, 07:31:38 PM »

I guess polling this cycle really is going to be worse than 2020.

This poll is literally a POS. I would love to think it isn't.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2022, 07:35:15 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2022, 07:36:10 PM »

When you add the leaners, it comes out to Fetterman 52, Oz 37, with 10% undecided and 1% refused.

So even if those 10% go to Oz, still Fetterman up 5.

Not sure why this is "sh*t polling", given that we all know likely a lot of those undecideds will lean GOP, so it's not like it's "wrong".

Bottom line is that Oz is clearly *still* having trouble consolidating the base, and Fetterman is over 50 here.

Oz having only 29% for "definitely" is something. The base clearly still hates him.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2022, 07:53:12 PM »

So true !
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2022, 07:57:23 PM »

I'm not saying it will happen, but it's not like there isn't precedence for terrible candidates in PA losing even in bad years for Ds.

Tom Wolf beat Tom Corbett by *10%* in 2014, a national red wave year, bc Corbett was so bad.

Wolf won by 17% in 2018 and Casey by 13%, and while there is context to that (blue wave, Casey being a big PA name), even if you cut those in half those would be big wins for a state like PA.

Bottom line is that terrible candidates have a history of going down in flames in PA no matter what the year is like
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2022, 08:08:40 PM »

Fetterman is a good fit for this state and he's beaten expectations before but uh, no, he's not winning by 18.

Would be awesome tho!
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2022, 08:11:29 PM »

In the future, please label polls like this "SHOCK POLL" in the thread title.

Thank you.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2022, 08:14:41 PM »

I actually wouldn't be stunned to see Fetterman finish at 51%, but that's the only even vaguely plausible number in this.
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Holmes
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2022, 08:21:41 PM »

The Republican ticket in Pennsylvania is just so bad this year. This isn't a state where they can afford to lose by just presenting crappy candidates.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #15 on: August 16, 2022, 08:47:55 PM »

In the future, please label polls like this "SHOCK POLL" in the thread title.

Thank you.

No, please don’t. Thank you.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #16 on: August 16, 2022, 09:05:08 PM »

How is Fetterman winning 51% surprising?

We've been over that for polls like this you make all the undecideds go R and the ones that go D make up for the polling error.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: August 16, 2022, 09:27:58 PM »

McCormick would have been more competetive
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GALeftist
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« Reply #18 on: August 16, 2022, 10:24:52 PM »

All you negative nellies will be sorry once Fetterman wins one cruditillion votes in Elk County alone. He will probably carry PA-14 too; Democrats will be sorry they didn't field a candidate here.
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Senator Incitatus
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2022, 10:28:51 PM »

In the future, please label polls like this "SHLOCK POLL" in the thread title.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: August 17, 2022, 12:09:36 AM »

Is Fetterman competitive with Trump voters at this point?

This is what happens when Democrats run good candidates against bad Republican ones. We should do more of that.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #21 on: August 17, 2022, 01:12:12 AM »

This is what happens when Democrats run good candidates against bad Republican ones. We should do more of that.
You might be on to something here.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: August 17, 2022, 01:14:40 AM »

Is Fetterman competitive with Trump voters at this point?

This is what happens when Democrats run good candidates against bad Republican ones. We should do more of that.

.Casey won by 17 in 2018 too
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: August 17, 2022, 01:26:39 AM »
« Edited: August 17, 2022, 01:36:44 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Midterms are less partisan Phil Scott and SUNUNU are winning and D's are winning in OH just like what happened in 2018 and Fetterman is winning by 15 just like Casey did in 2018

Bill Walker is tied with DUNLEAVY just like he won in 2014 and Betsy Johnson may indeed win it's may be a 25)2)23 D Gov and 54/2//2 runoff Senate and we can win 218 in the H if Palin wins the primary Mary Peltola is beating her in all the polls net pickup in H
.I doubt Franken, MO, DeJear and Nan W and Beto win the Act blue said donate to all races except OH Gov, IA, MO, AK Sen and TX Gov and donate to Mary Peltola I am gonna donate to Demings just like I do Ryan

The reason why we are winning Ryan, Demings and Beasley, Newsom are good looking just like Joe Kennedy and Rs like DeSantis because he is good looking bur wanted Joe Kennedy and Tim Ryan to lose the hypocrisy the only person they want to win is Newsom on our side
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politicallefty
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« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2022, 01:57:37 AM »

This is what happens when Democrats run good candidates against bad Republican ones. We should do more of that.
You might be on to something here.

I've been on board with Fetterman since I first heard about him a few years ago. I've read about him and seen videos and there are few people I've seen that have impressed me more. If he's not real PA, I don't know who is.
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