FL-SEN (Change Research/Emily's List): tied
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Author Topic: FL-SEN (Change Research/Emily's List): tied  (Read 1169 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: August 11, 2022, 05:24:26 PM »

8/2-8/5

Val Demings (D) 46%
Marco Rubio (R) 46%

Has what you’ve seen, heard or, read recently about ___ been?

Demings: 36% mostly positive, 15% mostly negative
Rubio: 21% mostly positive, 34% mostly negative

Favorables:
Marco Rubio: 36/50 (-14)
Ron DeSantis: 49/47 (+2)

https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/MEMO_Demings-Rubio-Change-Research-Poll_August-2022.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2022, 05:25:39 PM »

I'm not saying Demings is gonna win here, but it's incredibly apparent now that Rubio has been running a sloppy campaign.

And it appears Demings $$$ is actually making the impact here. Would not be surprised if this is a Ryan-Vance type situation right now where Demings has been raising/spending $$ all summer and Rubio has been caught sleeping.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2022, 05:25:47 PM »

Great news
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2022, 05:26:07 PM »

Rubio +8, at least.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2022, 05:28:23 PM »

Demings will win
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2022, 06:09:36 PM »

So Demings will get 46%, got it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2022, 08:12:48 PM »

So Demings will get 46%, got it.

No Rubio will get 46%
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Person Man
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2022, 07:40:29 AM »

It can’t be this bad. Where are the polls just could be off because either Republicans are liars or there’s massive voter fraud.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2022, 07:54:37 AM »

If we win FL we win everything it's 15% Blk and 26% Latino not ever Latin is Cuban and there are liberal elderly white Women whom are in SSA

FL was a blue state before Senator Bill Nelson
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2022, 08:56:02 AM »

So Demings will get 46%, got it.

Would actually be relatively decent still, imho, considering fundamentals. Patrick got just 44% in 2016.

My expectation is more like 54-44% and FL-Gov marginally better for DeSantis.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2022, 08:59:25 AM »

There is no poll that has DeSantis or Rubio up by 10 pts DeSantis is leading Crist 47/44 and Fried by five
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2022, 09:03:16 AM »

There is no poll that has DeSantis or Rubio up by 10 pts DeSantis is leading Crist 47/44 and Fried by five

Polls have been off in the past, and the polls even might change in September and October. Rubio is winning by 6-7 pts at very least.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2022, 09:07:48 AM »

I am thinks that Marco Rubio will likely sweep every county in Florida this time around. Same with Ron DeSantis.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2022, 10:46:45 AM »

I am thinks that Marco Rubio will likely sweep every county in Florida this time around. Same with Ron DeSantis.


Lol do you forget we had Sen Bill Nelson no he won't with Crist on the Ballot we are gonna win Miami Dade cmon Man
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2022, 11:20:27 AM »

I am thinks that Marco Rubio will likely sweep every county in Florida this time around. Same with Ron DeSantis.

I suggest that you consider a career other than political analysis.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: August 12, 2022, 11:38:33 AM »
« Edited: August 12, 2022, 11:42:49 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

As I said in a previous thread females vote too and  Wasserman Schultz is a female too and Nikki Fried that have been elected to statewide office before
Demings will be the first female Senator from FL and Beasley will be the first Blk female Senator from NC
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they don't love you like i love you
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« Reply #16 on: August 12, 2022, 12:25:50 PM »

I am thinks that Marco Rubio will likely sweep every county in Florida this time around. Same with Ron DeSantis.

I suggest that you consider a career other than political analysis.
OMG PLEASE STOP FEEDING THE TROLL
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #17 on: August 12, 2022, 03:37:35 PM »

It's weird to me that DeSantis is polling as so much more popular than Rubio.  I would think it would be the opposite.  Who are all these pro-DeSantis/anti-Rubio people?
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UncleSam
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« Reply #18 on: August 12, 2022, 04:24:13 PM »

It's weird to me that DeSantis is polling as so much more popular than Rubio.  I would think it would be the opposite.  Who are all these pro-DeSantis/anti-Rubio people?
Hardcore Trumpist MTG types who stand with ‘strong conservatives’ only. Those people won’t vote for a Dem but would vote for DeSantis and not Rubio.
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Dereich
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« Reply #19 on: August 12, 2022, 04:33:45 PM »

It's weird to me that DeSantis is polling as so much more popular than Rubio.  I would think it would be the opposite.  Who are all these pro-DeSantis/anti-Rubio people?

Rubio has had a lot of time to disappoint people. He's been in the Senate for 12 years without much in terms of accomplishment and has been exposed as hollow by his lack of firm principles and poor presidential campaign. Desantis is still new enough on the big stage to keep his flaws out of the public eye. Essentially, Desantis is still a rising star while Rubio hasn't been one for years.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: August 13, 2022, 09:47:38 AM »
« Edited: August 13, 2022, 09:51:05 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I have said this before and say it again SEN BOB GRAHAM AND SEN BILL NELSON, SEN HAGAN AND SEN BROWN WERE ALL ELECTED DURING OBAMA AND BIDEN YRS 2008/12, THIS IS THE SAME BIDEN THAT RAN WITH OBAMA

Sure it was the Iraq war but we still won red states with Biden
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: August 13, 2022, 10:51:14 AM »
« Edited: August 13, 2022, 10:59:02 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I remember in 2018 D's wanted to Def DeSantis now it's the Environment, man we have to be optimistic we have 90 days to vote, Ratings don't even matter at this pt because Oct 1 the urban vote is gonna start voting and Nov 8 th the rural vote, vote last, we can overperform the ratings, Rs surely did last time because the offered under Trump 2K stimulus check they're not offering anything else and most of us don't live in rural America we live is metros and suburban metros except hard core Rs live in rural America or if there are Rs in urban or suburbs they're gonna be outvoted by Da

Just a flashback IN and AK were Lean R in final.polls in 2008 they all went D, GA was Lean R in ratings in 2020 it went D, WVA Sen was Lean R in ratings in 2018 it went D

Ted Stevens was gonna win and Manchin was DOA and Ossoff was gonna lose to Perdue, but WARNOCK was favorite they all won and Beshear and Evers won on Provision ballots , some people think D they won by 10 pts the D's they were all underdogs MT Treasure had them all Lean R now he says GA is VA after incorrectly predicting Rs keep GA in 2020
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #22 on: August 14, 2022, 09:25:21 AM »

Demings is probably the best fl Dems could find this cycle. Were this 2018, she’d probably win. I think she will fall short though.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2022, 03:01:27 PM »

New Poll: Florida Senator by  Change Research on 2022-08-05

Summary: D: 46%, R: 46%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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