Key U.S. Senate & Gubernatorial Race Predictions

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BushKerry04:
As of 08/08/2022

Pennsylvania
U.S. Senate: Fetterman +1
Governor: Shapiro +5

Michigan
Governor: Whitmer +5

North Carolina
U.S. Senate: Budd +3

Arizona
U.S. Senate: Kelly +1
Governor: Hobbs +3

Georgia
U.S. Senate: Warnock +1
Governor: Kemp +7

Nevada
U.S. Senate: Cortez Masto +0.5
Governor: Lombardo +1

New Hampshire
U.S. Senate:
With Bolduc: Hassan +6
With Morse: Hassan +2
Governor: Sununu +27

Ohio
U.S. Senate: Vance +3
Governor: DeWine +12

Wisconsin
U.S. Senator: Barnes +0.1
Governor:
With Kleefisch: Kleefisch +1
With Michels: Evers +2

Colorado
Governor: Polis +10
U.S. Senate: Bennett +2

Florida
Governor: DeSantis +7
U.S. Senate: Rubio +10

Texas
Governor: Abbott +17

Illinois
U.S. Senate: Duckworth +18
Governor: Pritzker +20

Maryland
U.S. Senate: Van Hollen +23
Governor: Moore +30

Vermont
U.S. Senate: Welch +18
Governor: Scott +42

Massachussetts
Governor: Healey +25

Maine
Governor: Mills +7

Washington
U.S. Senate: Murray +8

Alaska
U.S. Senate: Murkowski +5

Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers:
Lombardo is behind in every poll and so is Vance and Budd

RussFeingoldWasRobbed:
Senate
AZ Masters +1(FLIP)
CO Bennet +6
FL Rubio +9
GA Warnock +3
NV Laxalt +6(FLIP)
NH Bolduc -2
WI Rojo +4
NC Budd +10
OH Vance +6
PA Fetterman+5(FLIP)
Governor
CO Polis +10
FL DeSantis +11
IL Pritzker +8-9
GA Kemp +8
ME LePage +3(FLIP)
MI Whitmer +3
MN Walz + 2
NM Ronchetti +0(FLIP)
OR Drazan +2(FLIP)
PA Shapiro +4
KS Kelly +1
WI Michels +4(FLIP)
NV Lombardo +10(FLIP)
AZ Lake +4
I've changed my mind on MI. Dixon seems easier to paint as a right winger than Lake, who's more of a trumpist/populist type

Xing:
I’ll just leave my “almost final” (maybe?) predictions here:

Senate

Alaska: Safe R/Lean Murkowski
Murkowski +3

Arizona: Toss-Up
Masters +0.5

Colorado: Likely D
Bennet +7

Georgia: Lean D
Warnock +2.5

Nevada: Toss-Up
Laxalt +1.5

New Hampshire: Lean D
Hassan +5

North Carolina: Likely R
Budd +5.5

Ohio: Likely R
Vance +7

Pennsylvania: Toss-Up
Oz +1

Wisconsin: Lean R
Johnson +4.5

Governor

Arizona: Lean R
Lake +4

Connecticut: Likely D
Lamont +8

Georgia: Likely R
Kemp +5.5

Kansas: Lean R
Schmidt +3.5

Maine: Lean D
Mills +4

Michigan: Lean D
Whitmer +3

Minnesota: Lean D
Walz +5

Nevada: Toss-Up
Lombardo +2

New Mexico: Lean D
Lujan Grisham +3.5

Oregon: Lean D
Kotek +2.5

Pennsylvania: Likely D
Shapiro +6

Rhode Island: Likely D
McKee +8.5

Wisconsin: Toss-Up
Michels +1.5

My specific predictions for Washington are that Murray wins by 11.5 (Safe D), Schrier by 2 (Lean D), and Kent by 6.5 (Likely R.)

Southern Reactionary Dem:
Pennsylvania
U.S. Senate: Fetterman +1
Governor: Shapiro +4

Michigan
Governor: Whitmer +3

North Carolina
U.S. Senate: Budd +4

Arizona
U.S. Senate: Kelly +2
Governor: Lake +2

Georgia
U.S. Senate: Warnock +1
Governor: Kemp +5

Nevada
U.S. Senate: Laxalt +2
Governor: Lombardo +3

New Hampshire
U.S. Senate: Hassan +5
Governor: Sununu +24

Ohio
U.S. Senate: Vance +7
Governor: DeWine +18

Wisconsin
U.S. Senator: Johnson +2
Governor: Michels +1

Colorado
Governor: Polis +11
U.S. Senate: Bennett +7

Florida
Governor: DeSantis +8
U.S. Senate: Rubio +12

Texas
Governor: Abbott +12

Illinois
U.S. Senate: Duckworth +17
Governor: Pritzker +22

Maryland
U.S. Senate: Van Hollen +20
Governor: Moore +20

Vermont
U.S. Senate: Welch +25
Governor: Scott +40

Massachussetts
Governor: Healey +20

Maine
Governor: Mills +1

Washington
U.S. Senate: Murray +15

Alaska
U.S. Senate: Murkowski +7

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