Farmers Almanac Predicting Cold, Snowy Winter for Most of the United States

[Frodo]

For what it's worth (which isn't much):

Farmers’ Almanac Predicts Cold, Snowy Winter For Most Of U.S., Here’s Where It Will Be Mild And Dry

[LAKISYLVANIA]

We're going to have a moderate La Nina, likely even stronger than the former two winters, and so the same pattern as last two winters is expected.

La Nina usually correlates to colder Pacific Northwest and Upper Plains and a drier south. It also correlates to a wet Rust Belt and a wet PNW.

[vitoNova]

Nice.  I like all 4 seasons, but I particularly dig the cold.

[Frodo]

As far as this autumn is concerned, according to Accuweather it looks like we are getting a warm start:

The fall forecast is in, and it’s going to be a warm one

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hopefully winter isn't so bad in Texas this year.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

The models don't seem to back these claims, except for northern US (& Alaska) being potentially snowier than normal.



In terms of precipitation, the southeast seems to be exceptionally dry and the entire southern US would see less rainfall than usual.

Changes in Pacific are due to negative IOD + La Nina cycles. That's why southeastern Australia will be exceptionally wet, some stations very likely having the wettest year on record, since 2022 was already wet so far.

Negative IOD favours rainfall in eastern Indian Ocean instead of the western parts, probably creating a much weaker African monsoon, while increasing rainfall in Indonesia & Australia. La Nina favours rainfall in the western Pacific (and on the southern and northern Pacific parts, while drying out the eastern-central parts of it where few lands are located).

In Europe, the winter will likely be mild. The Atlantic Ocean is warm and temperature differences are sharper than usual, which will probably strengthen the jetstream over Europe. This could however lead to wintry weather in the Northeast, but certainly not a given. However in this model, the precipitation remains normal or around average. It might be too early to say for sure, but I believe conditions in Europe are going to be mild, and the models seem to agree on that. The jet could be very northerly located, which would also lower chances of wintry weather in the southern USA.

The thing is that mild winters for US norms are still likely to bring regular snowfall or winter conditions, while in Europe that's not really the case due to the Gulf Stream and moderation of the ocean.

[Santander]

Hopefully BRTD goes into Atlas hibernation.

[DaleCooper]

I would love a snowy winter.

[Frodo]

Accuweather disagrees:



Expect more (cold) rain than snow.