What points in Trump's presidency would he have beaten Biden?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  What points in Trump's presidency would he have beaten Biden?
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Author Topic: What points in Trump's presidency would he have beaten Biden?  (Read 772 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: September 03, 2022, 07:15:10 PM »

At what points in Trump's presidency would he have beaten Biden?
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Dep. ZMUN M441
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2022, 08:10:18 PM »

Earlier in 2020, between March and early May, due to a 'rally round the flag' effect at the start of the COVID pandemic.

If the election was held six months earlier, Trump would've probably eked out an EC win, with his OTL states + AZ, GA, WI, and PA. Perhaps even held MI and flipped NV, too.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2022, 09:20:11 PM »

Anytime except 'Rona, Impeachment, and the end of 2017.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2022, 06:18:53 PM »

Perhaps just after the first impeachment. Many people saw it as pure theater and a foregone conclusion, since the Republicans still controlled the Senate.
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dw93
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2022, 08:08:53 PM »

I'd probably say around May 2019 till May of 2020 were the points in his Presidency where he had the best odds at a 2nd term. I would say the end of 2017 and  post May 2020 were the points in his Presidency where his odds were the lowest.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2022, 08:16:31 PM »

Anytime except 'Rona, Impeachment, and the end of 2017.

I need to disagree about impeachment. His approval ratings went up as a result of impeachment, and only came down once COVID really took hold in the States and it became clear he wasn't going to do anything about it.
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2022, 05:58:11 PM »

Early 2020, pre COVID

The Democrats were looking like fools between impeachment and the messy primary.

I remember polls showed Trump strongly ahead in Florida and Ohio, with states like WI and PA as tossups. Considering polls always underestimate him, Trump probably would have won a larger victory than 2016.
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JS2021
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2022, 09:49:06 PM »

November 2017




November 2018



November 2019



February-May 2020


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Orser67
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2022, 04:05:33 PM »

The first quarter of 2017 and the onset of coronavirus in April 2020. I can also respect the argument for the months immediately before COVID hit, but I think that's about it.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2022, 02:23:35 PM »

Early 2017 and then 2019 through late spring 2020.
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