Wolf would beat Mastriano but anyone else would hold on.
A few you missed
-Arizona 2026: Incumbent Katie Hobbs vs. Doug Ducey
-North Carolina 2028: Incumbent Mark Robinson vs. Roy Cooper
Bullock vs. Gianforte in 2024 would be interesting, but I don't think Bullock is eligible again until 2028.
I think Ducey could beat Hobbs if she is unpopular, however I don’t think he could make it past a primary unless the field were very divided.
Roy Cooper could definitely beat Mark Robinson in 2028 if Robinson goes too extreme.
As for a Bullock 2028 comeback, I simply can’t see him actually winning due to less tickey splitting.
If a Christine Drazan wins Oregon this year, then Kate Brown 2026?
Also, Ralph Northam 2025 and Glenn Youngkin 2029? I truly don’t know how these would turn out.
If a Republican wins New Jersey in 2025, then Phil Murphy 2029?
If Kemp wins 2022 and a Dem wins Georgia 2026, Brian Kemp 2030?
If a Dem somehow wins Florida 2026, DeSantis 2030?
If Janet Mills wins this year and a Republican wins 2026, then Mills 2030?
