Is the Pacific Northwest trending R?
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Author Topic: Is the Pacific Northwest trending R?  (Read 1238 times)
iceman
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« on: October 22, 2022, 01:08:27 AM »
Are Washington and Oregon bound to trend R in the near future?
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2022, 02:18:24 AM »
No.
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discovolante
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2022, 05:55:53 PM »
trending r is when states rapidly become more diverse
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TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2022, 07:05:19 PM »
Um, no?  Trump did no better than McCain in Oregon, and worse in Washington.  And these were considered swing states with Bush.
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bagelman
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2022, 01:39:13 AM »
If the GOP wins big there this year, then maybe. But if that doesn't happen, no way.
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MarkD
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2022, 10:56:07 AM »
No, I haven't noticed any such trend in recent years: no gubernatorial wins in decades, no senatorial wins, most house races won by Democrats, and all four state legislative chambers controlled by Democrats.
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TML
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2022, 03:45:26 PM »
If you're talking about counties along the Pacific Coast that are mostly working class and not very well educated, then sure, those areas have trended R over the past several election cycles.

If you're talking about the states at-large, then no, there isn't any significant R trend overall.
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Vosem
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2022, 10:20:56 PM »
I think there are some reasons to think that a GOP win in 2022 would hit OR particularly hard, but no. Recent demographic trends have these states continuing to trend D.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2022, 02:56:52 AM »
No. Democrats may get hit hard there in 2022 (especially compared to the rest of the nation) but that's due to a bunch of specific, temporary factors rather than a broader trend.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2022, 12:50:28 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2022, 03:02:23 PM by TodayJunior »
Washington? No. That’s one of the last 5 states to flip only before CA, HI, MD, MA, maybe VT? No republican can win there, not even a Charlie baker or Larry hogan type.

Oregon? Maybe. Depends if Drazan actually wins.
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