America's Maverick Part 2: Madame President
OSR stands with Israel:
President Clinton and Former President McCain campaign in California for the hottest Gubernatorial Contest in the Nation:
Source: https://news.usc.edu/68187/gov-brown-joins-schwarzenegger-top-experts-for-climate-change-panel/
Blitzer: President Clinton and Former President John McCain held dueling rallies in Los Angeles County today for each of their party's candidates in this year's gubernatorial race in what has become the hottest gubernatorial contest in the nation and arguably the hottest individual contest. The Race is between the Hollywood Superstar , Los Angeles Mayor Arnold Schwarzenegger, and Current State Attorney General and Former California Governor Jerry Brown who is trying to avoid the same fate as his father.
His father , Governor Pat Brown had his political career ended by a Hollywood Actor back in 1966 as he would lose in a landslide to future President Ronald Reagan. Now the question will be , will history repeat itself or not and due to that this race has attracted lots of attention. Now of course both President's will be doing many rallies with many candidates across the nation, but none will get more attention than this one. Polls show Mayor Schwarzenegger up 3 currently but thats pretty much a tossup so this race could go anyway.
2016:
Sorry Arnold BUT you are not going to win this given that Governor Riordan has put California down the tube for the last 8 years.
And I think Hillary Clinton will be a two-termer :)
OSR stands with Israel:
2010 Midterms Preview:
Blitzer: With the Midterms less than 72 hours lets go over to John King to see what we will be looking for next Tuesday, First in the House
King: There are around 28 tossup seats and this is what the battleground looks like
House of Representatives:
Republicans: 215-243(+0-+28)
Democrats: 192-220(-28 - +0)
Tossup: 28
King: So as you can see the Republicans very likely will take the house, which is no surprise given how narrow the Democratic Majority is. What the Democrats will be hoping for though is to limit their losses to under 15 seats cause if they do so one that would be an over performance compared to the historical loss of around 21 to 22 seats and number two would keep the Republican house majority small enough for it to be in play in 2012 as well.
Blitzer: What about the Senate
King: Well the Senate will be very interesting cause and if you assign the seats we believe that will be safe for either party we will start with 45 Democrats to 43 Republicans so that means there will be 12 seats in play . Before that lets look at the current map up
Senate:
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Vulnerable Democratic Held Seats:
West Virginia(Special): State Secretary of State Natalie Tennant(D) vs Representative Shelly Moore Capito(R) - Tossup
North Carolina: Senator Jim Hunt(D) vs Former Charlotte Mayor Pat Mcrory(R) - Lean Democratic Hold
Kentucky: Senator Daniel Mongiardo(D) vs Mr. Rand Paul(R) - Tossup
Wisconsin: Senator Russ Feingold(D) vs Former OMB Director Paul Ryan(R) - Tossup
Arkansas: Senator Blanche Lincoln(D) vs Representative John Boozman(R) - Tossup
North Dakota: State Senator Tracy Potter(D) vs Governor John Hoeven(R) - Safe Republican Gain
Nevada: Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid vs Governor Brian Sandoval - Lean Republican Gain
Washington: Senator Pat Murray(D) vs Governor Dino Rossi(R) - Tossup
California: Senator Barbara Boxer(D) vs Businesswomen Carly Fiorina(R) - Lean Democratic Hold
Vulnerable Republican Held Seats:
Pennsylvania: Former Representative Pat Toomey(R) vs Representative Joe Sestak(D) - Tossup
Missouri: Representative Roy Blunt(R) vs Governor Claire McCaskill(D) - Tossup
Alaska: Senator Lisa Murkowski(R) vs Governor Fran Ulmer(D) - Lean Republican Hold
King: As you can do the math the Republicans must win 8 of these seats in order to take the majority on Tuesday but a problem is if you add in the seats where each party has an advantage you get to Democrats at 47 and Republicans at 46 and out of the 7 remaining seats the Republicans must win 5 of them in order to take a majority which wont be easy.
Blitzer: So Democrats will only need 3 seats of the 7 to keep their majority
King: Yes as remember in a 50-50 tie , Vice President Rockefeller would break the tie for the Democrats. Anyway out of the 3 the easiest path for the Democrats would be one to defeat Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania who many believe is too conservative for a state like Pennsylvania and defeat Rand Paul in Kentucky who is viewed to be by far the weakest Republican candidate in any battleground seat this year. If they do so they will have 49 seats and only need to win 1 seat of the remaining 5 in order to keep their majority
Blitzer: One interesting thing is Nevada where Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is expected to lose
King: Oh yes, the Republicans have targeted this seat heavily for the past two years and recruited a very strong candidate to take him on and are favored to win it. Keep in mind from 1954 to 2002 not a single senate leader from either party lost their reelection bid while if Harry Reid losses on Tuesday he will be the 4th consecutive senate leader to lose his seat which is just astonishing.
Blitzer: What about in gubernatorial races
King: Well first lets show everyone the current map of the seats up and then the battleground races
Gubernatorial Races:
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Vulnerable Democratic Seats:
Pennsylvania: State Attorney General Tom Corbett(R) vs Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato(D) - Lean Republican Gain
Ohio: Governor Ted Strickland(D) vs Former OMB Director John Kasich(R) - Lean Democratic Hold
Michigan: Lansing Mayor Virgil Bernero(D) vs Former Senator Spencer Abraham(R) - Lean Republican Gain
Wisconsin: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett(D) vs Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker(R) - Tossup
Illinois : Governor Pat Quinn(D) vs State Senator Bill Brady(R) - Lean Democratic Hold
Iowa: Governor Chet Culver(D) vs Former Governor Terry Branstad(R) - Tossup
Tennessee: Representative John Tanner(D) vs Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam(R) - Lean Republican Gain
Texas: Governor Max Sandlin(D) vs Senator George W Bush(R) - Likely Republican Gain
Oklahoma: Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins(D) vs Representative Mary Fallin(R) - Likely Republican Gain
Kansas: State Senator Tom Holland(D) vs State Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh(R) - Safe Republican Gain
New Mexico: Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish(D) vs Attorney Susana Martinez(R) - Tossup
Alaska: State Representative Ethan Berkowitz(D) vs Businessman John Binkley(R) - Lean Republican Gain
Vulnerable Republican Seats:
New York: Governor Rudy Giuliani(R) vs State Senator David Paterson(D)- Lean Republican Hold
Massachusetts: Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey(R) vs Attorney Deval Patrick(D) - Tossup
Connecticut: Businessman Tom Foley(R) vs State Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz(D) - Lean Democratic Gain
Rhode Island: Businessman John Robitaille(R) vs State Treasurer Frank T. Caprio(D)- Likely Democratic Gain
Maryland: Lieutenant Governor Kristen Cox(R) vs State Attorney General Doug Gansler(D) - Lean Democratic Gain
Minnesota: Representative Tom Emmer(R) vs Former Senator Mark Dayton(D) vs Mr. Tom Horner(I) - Tossup
Nevada: State Senator Joe Heck(R) vs Attorney Rory Reed(D) - Lean Republican Hold
Oregon: Businessman Allen Alley(R) vs Former Governor John Kitzhaber(D) - Tossup
California: Los Angeles Mayor Arnold Schwarzenegger(R) vs State Attorney General Jerry Brown(D) - Tossup
Hawaii: Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona(R) vs Former Representative Neil Abercrombie(D)- Likely Democratic Gain
King: Well Democrats are unlucky about the fact that so many of their governors are term limited especially in the Midwest and in red states which many cause them to lose many seats come Tuesday. Two exceptions two this are in Ohio where Governor Strickland can run for re-election since he was elected back in 2006 and while Republican John Kasich has run a strong campaign, Governor Strickland will probably win. The other exception is in Wyoming where thanks to a state supreme court ruling, Governor Dave Freudenthal can run for a third term which he is widely expected to do so.
Blitzer: What about for Republicans
King: Well they too are unlucky with the amount of term limited governors they have in blue states but its less than the Democrats so they likely wont suffer anywhere near the losses the Democrats will. Of course the race we will be watching the most is California where right now polls show a very tight race.
OSR stands with Israel:
Btw I’m unsure if I will be able to use the new map format for midterm coverages as it might cause me to exceed the character limit so I’ll probably just use the old format for midterm coverage
OSR stands with Israel:
CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 1):
Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8
7:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg
Blitzer : Welcome to CNN’s coverage of the 2010 midterm elections , where we will be finding out who will control congress for the next two years as well as who will sit in the gubernatorial chair for 2/3rd of states tonight. The first polls have just closed and CNN can now project that Senator Evan Bayh has won re-election in Indiana, Senator Patrick Leahy has won re-election in Vermont , Senator Alveda King has won re-election in Georgia , Senator Lindsey Graham has won re-election in South Carolina and state attorney general Kelly Ayotte will be the next senator of New Hampshire . We are unable to make a projection right now in Kentucky but with 60% of the votes in , right now the Democrat Daniel Mongiardo holds a narrow lead .
Democrats 39
Republicans 31
Blitzer: In the Gubernatorial Races CNN Can project that in Vermont- Governor Jim Douglas will be elected to yet another term, in New Hampshire- Governor Gordon Humphrey will be reelected, in Georgia- Governor Johnny Isakson will be reelected and in South Carolina- State Attorney General Henry McMaster will be the next Governor.
Blitzer: So Far no surprise but Democrats are probably happy they are up in Kentucky
Borger: Oh 100%, the fact is Democrats have counted on keeping that senate seat in their pathway to keeping their majority as they believe Rand Paul who many believe was aided in the primary by the fact that he is the son of Ron Paul thus giving him a name recognition boost her otherwise wouldnt have, is way to extreme to win and right now it looks like that is the case
O'Brien: Oh I agree with Gloria but I would like to add some more evidence for this is the fact that Republicans are expected to pick up house seats in Kentucky tonight so it likely is Rand Paul is too right wing to win.
Gergen: I like to add that even if Rand Paul loses, tonight likely overall will be a good night for Kentucky Republicans given house wins there likely will help rebuild their bench there as currently they have no bench there. People talk about how bad a nominee Rand Paul is but the main issue is Kentucky Republicans bench was decimated by former Governor Fletcher who was very unpopular and now we are starting to see them rebuild.
Blitzer: Let's go over to John and see why Democrats are so happy about Kentucky so far
King: Well first of all as you can see Eastern Kentucky so far is solidly blue which is 100% good news for any Democrat running here but also importantly is major urban counties like Jefferson County is going democratic by even larger margins than it did two years ago in the presidential election so right now I would say things are indeed looking good for Democrats here. At the house level though as you can see, the Republicans are already projected to have picked up the 2nd and 4th district here and the question really is whether or not Former Congresswomen Anne Northup who was defeated two years ago can retake her seat.
7:30:
Blitzer: It's 7:30 in the East can CNN can now project that Congressman Rob Portman will be elected the next Senator of Ohio and in West Virginia - Senator Joe Manchin will be elected to finish out Vice President Jay Rockefeller term in the senate meaning he wont be up for election again till 2014. We are unable to make a projection in the other West Virginia race or in North Carolina at the moment
Democrats 40
Republicans 32
Blitzer: Now with around 70% in Senator Daniel Mongiardo is still holding on to his narrow lead, while in Florida - Senator Bush has raced off to a 11 point lead and the heavily Republican panhandle has still not closed its polls yet.
In the Gubernatorial Race the polls have closed in Ohio but we are unable to make a projection there at the moment
Blitzer: In the Florida Gubernatorial Race right now the Republican Marco Rubio is leading by 7 points but keep in mind the polls have not closed in the panhandle yet so a potential hopes of a double digit win by Mr. Rubio there are still alive. So James what do you think of the results so far
Carville: Well I will say the race I am currently most watching is Kentucky 3 because if Anne Northup loses than its very likely we keep our losses below a dozen seats and that would put us in good shape to take back the house in 2012.
Matalin: I am still looking most at Florida as It will be interesting to see how much coattail effects Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio have and given how large the state is, that would increase our house potential.
Roland: Well my thoughts on the results so far is that right now it is too early to judge anything but I am optimistic about the senate at the moment.
Blitzer: Ok thanks for your thoughts and we will come back to you when we have some more results
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