America's Maverick Part 2: Madame President
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  America's Maverick Part 2: Madame President
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Author Topic: America's Maverick Part 2: Madame President  (Read 28608 times)
OSR STANDS WITH PALESTINE
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« Reply #100 on: October 27, 2022, 09:21:15 AM »

When does LGBTQ+ marriage get legalized?
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« Reply #101 on: October 27, 2022, 05:18:55 PM »

When does LGBTQ+ marriage get legalized?

It will still be a while as keep in mind that Gay Marriage in OTL was not legalized until 2015, and we are still in 2010 here.
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« Reply #102 on: October 27, 2022, 07:54:31 PM »

Electoral reform is needed ITTL given the closenesses of the 2008 election and that it went into the House to solve future electoral college deadlocks. 
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« Reply #103 on: October 30, 2022, 03:12:20 PM »

Congress passes a three-billion-dollar military aid package to help beef up the Iraqi Military:

Cooper: Congress earlier today passed a three-billion-dollar military aid package which will mostly go towards Iraq to help beef up their military in hopes of deterring any potential invasion. This money will go towards helping the Iraqi's recruit a larger military, as well as provide raw materials to increase the amount of tanks and other equipment for the Iraqi military. 

Breaking News: Marco Rubio wins Florida Gubernatorial race, and picks Charlie Crist as his running mate , keeping his promise of selecting the runner up



Source : https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Marco_Rubio,_Official_Portrait,_112th_Congress.jpg#mw-jump-to-license

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that Marco Rubio the former Speaker of the Florida House will be the Republican nominee for Governor of Florida. With 80% of the vote in you can see that currently Mr. Rubio has 39% of the vote to Crist at 32% and Scott at 29%. With us now is Ana Navarro to explain more how Mr. Rubio won

Navarro: Well the fact is that one Mr. Rubio did an excellent job in many ways presenting himself as the mainstream conservative candidate while Mr. Crist was viewed as too moderate for the base while Mr. Scott was viewed as unelectable and in a close 3 way race that helped him. Second is that Senator Bush threw his support behind Mr. Rubio a couple weeks back and you saw that the polls moved in Mr. Rubio's favor after that and you saw that many of the voters who previously were backing Mr. Scott switched to Mr. Rubio and that definitely helped.

Blitzer: We are told that Mr. Rubio has pledged to name whoever came 2nd in the primary to be his running mate.

Navarro: Yes he has and that also helped him as the fact is Mr. Rubio was the only person out of the 3 who had the chance to be able to make a case that he could pick either Charlie Crist or Rick Scott has his running mate.

Blitzer: Ok , so now what we will be looking for his who will come 2nd and John how does it look like

King: Well currently there are votes still left to count in the pandhandle which will benefit Mr. Scott but also votes to count in South Florida where currently Mr. Crist has places a solid 2nd behind Mr. Rubio so all we can do is wait.

Blitzer: Ok we will be back when all the results are in to see who comes in 2nd

Cooper: Ok lets go back to Wolf for an update of the Florida race

Blitzer: CNN can now project Charlie Crist will finish in 2nd in the Florida Republican Primary meaning  as long as Marco Rubio keeps his pledge, he will be the Republican nominee for lieutenant governor of Florida in November.

Borger: Wolf, we have just gotten confirmation that Marco Rubio has called Charlie Crist and ask asked him to be his running mate this November and that Charlie Crist has accepted the offer. They are expected to meet tomorrow at an event in Miami to officially announce the ticket.




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« Reply #104 on: October 30, 2022, 03:19:24 PM »

Is Crist the incumbent Governor?
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« Reply #105 on: October 30, 2022, 03:27:46 PM »


No Toni Jennings is
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« Reply #106 on: October 30, 2022, 03:39:36 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2022, 03:58:38 PM by 2016 »

Rubio is going to win the General Election in a Landslide whomever the Democrats will put up with Crist as Running Mate. And my gut feel is that that he is going to run for President down the road.

There could also an interesting Republican Primary for Florida Governor down the Road in 2018 between Crist, Putnam and DeSantis just like this year was.
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« Reply #107 on: November 21, 2022, 06:50:46 PM »

I did forget to do an update about Robert Byrd's passing so there still will be a special in the 2010 midterms to fill his seat and the interim senator is Gus Douglass.
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« Reply #108 on: November 21, 2022, 11:34:44 PM »

Clinton looks like a one-termer here
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« Reply #109 on: November 23, 2022, 02:59:23 AM »

Senate Confirms Judge Kim Wardlaw after Confirmation Hearings go smoothly:



Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_McLane_Wardlaw

Blitzer: Judge Kim Wardlaw was easily approved by the Senate after her hearings went smoothly and is expected to be sworn in by Chief Justice Scalia later this month before the new session of the Supreme Court starts. She was approved by a 3-1 margin as every Democrat and even most Republicans voted to confirm her nomination. So Jeffrey why did it go so smothley

Toobin: Well Judge Wardlaw has been on the court of appeals for over a decade giving her a pretty lengthy resume that senators usually like and add to the fact that the balance of the supreme court will not change by this pick, this nomination really didnt have much stakes to it so for that reason it got large amounts of bipartisan support.


UN Ambassador Susan Rice Urges Russia to work with the United Nations to help reign in Iran and Syria



Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3kyhx3cYH3A

Rice: It is my belief that if Russia worked with the United Nations more to reign in the threat Iran and Syria put to the region, not only could we avoid further escalating of tensions there but we could actually have a long term solution that not only deescalates tensions, but brings peace to the region. The United Nations is a perfect body for us to start to do that and Russia needs to join in as well .


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« Reply #110 on: November 24, 2022, 03:17:14 PM »

President Clinton and Former President McCain campaign in California for the hottest Gubernatorial Contest in the Nation:



Source: https://news.usc.edu/68187/gov-brown-joins-schwarzenegger-top-experts-for-climate-change-panel/

Blitzer: President Clinton and Former President John McCain held dueling rallies in Los Angeles County today for each of their party's candidates in this year's gubernatorial race in what has become the hottest gubernatorial contest in the nation and arguably the hottest individual contest. The Race is between the Hollywood Superstar , Los Angeles Mayor Arnold Schwarzenegger, and Current State Attorney General and Former California Governor Jerry Brown who is trying to avoid the same fate as his father.

His father , Governor Pat Brown had his political career ended by a Hollywood Actor back in 1966 as he would lose in a landslide to future President Ronald Reagan. Now the question will be , will history repeat itself or not and due to that this race has attracted lots of attention. Now of course both President's will be doing many rallies with many candidates across the nation, but none will get more attention than this one. Polls show Mayor Schwarzenegger up 3 currently but thats pretty much a tossup so this race could go anyway.

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« Reply #111 on: November 24, 2022, 04:18:41 PM »

Sorry Arnold BUT you are not going to win this given that Governor Riordan has put California down the tube for the last 8 years.

And I think Hillary Clinton will be a two-termer Smiley
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« Reply #112 on: November 24, 2022, 10:47:05 PM »
« Edited: November 27, 2022, 04:56:29 PM by Old School Republican »

2010 Midterms Preview:

Blitzer: With the Midterms less than 72 hours lets go over to John King to see what we will be looking for next Tuesday, First in the House

King: There are around 28 tossup seats and this is what the battleground looks like

House of Representatives:

Republicans: 215-243(+0-+28)
Democrats: 192-220(-28 - +0)
Tossup: 28

King: So as you can see the Republicans very likely will take the house, which is no surprise given how narrow the Democratic Majority is. What the Democrats will be hoping for though is to limit their losses to under 15 seats cause if they do so one that would be an over performance compared to the historical loss of around 21 to 22 seats and number two would keep the Republican house majority small enough for it to be in play in 2012 as well.

Blitzer: What about the Senate

King: Well the Senate will be very interesting cause and if you assign the seats we believe that will be safe for either party we will start with 45 Democrats to 43 Republicans so that means there will be 12 seats in play . Before that lets look at the current map up

Senate:



Vulnerable Democratic Held Seats:

West Virginia(Special): State Secretary of State Natalie Tennant(D) vs Representative Shelly Moore Capito(R) - Tossup

North Carolina: Senator Jim Hunt(D) vs Former Charlotte Mayor Pat Mcrory(R) - Lean Democratic Hold

Kentucky: Senator Daniel Mongiardo(D) vs Mr. Rand Paul(R) - Tossup

Wisconsin: Senator Russ Feingold(D) vs Former OMB Director Paul Ryan(R) - Tossup

Arkansas: Senator Blanche Lincoln(D) vs Representative John Boozman(R) - Tossup

North Dakota: State Senator Tracy Potter(D) vs Governor John Hoeven(R) - Safe Republican Gain

Nevada: Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid vs Governor Brian Sandoval - Lean Republican Gain

Washington: Senator Pat Murray(D) vs Governor Dino Rossi(R) - Tossup

California: Senator Barbara Boxer(D) vs Businesswomen Carly Fiorina(R) - Lean Democratic Hold

Vulnerable Republican Held Seats:

Pennsylvania: Former Representative Pat Toomey(R) vs Representative Joe Sestak(D) - Tossup

Missouri: Representative Roy Blunt(R) vs Governor Claire McCaskill(D) - Tossup

Alaska: Senator Lisa Murkowski(R) vs Governor Fran Ulmer(D) - Lean Republican Hold

King: As you can do the math the Republicans must win 8 of these seats in order to take the majority on Tuesday but a problem is if you add in the seats where each party has an advantage you get to Democrats at 47 and Republicans at 46 and out of the 7 remaining seats the Republicans must win 5 of them in order to take a majority which wont be easy.

Blitzer: So Democrats will only need 3 seats of the 7 to keep their majority

King: Yes as remember in a 50-50 tie , Vice President Rockefeller would break the tie for the Democrats. Anyway out of the 3 the easiest path for the Democrats would be one to defeat Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania who many believe is too conservative for a state like Pennsylvania and defeat Rand Paul in Kentucky who is viewed to be by far the weakest Republican candidate in any battleground seat this year. If they do so they will have 49 seats and only need to win 1 seat of the remaining 5 in order to keep their majority

Blitzer: One interesting thing is Nevada where Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is expected to lose

King: Oh yes, the Republicans have targeted this seat heavily for the past two years and recruited a very strong candidate to take him on and are favored to win it. Keep in mind from 1954 to 2002 not a single senate leader from either party lost their reelection bid while if Harry Reid losses on Tuesday he will be the 4th consecutive senate leader to lose his seat which is just astonishing.

Blitzer: What about in gubernatorial races

King: Well first lets show everyone the current map of the seats up and then the battleground races

Gubernatorial Races:



Vulnerable Democratic Seats:

Pennsylvania: State Attorney General Tom Corbett(R) vs Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato(D) - Lean Republican Gain

Ohio: Governor Ted Strickland(D) vs Former OMB Director John Kasich(R) - Lean Democratic Hold

Michigan: Lansing Mayor Virgil Bernero(D) vs Former Senator Spencer Abraham(R) - Lean Republican Gain

Wisconsin: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett(D) vs Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker(R) - Tossup

Illinois : Governor Pat Quinn(D) vs State Senator Bill Brady(R) - Lean Democratic Hold

Iowa: Governor Chet Culver(D) vs Former Governor Terry Branstad(R) - Tossup

Tennessee: Representative John Tanner(D) vs Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam(R) - Lean Republican Gain

Texas: Governor Max Sandlin(D) vs Senator George W Bush(R) - Likely Republican Gain

Oklahoma: Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins(D) vs Representative Mary Fallin(R) - Likely Republican Gain

Kansas: State Senator Tom Holland(D) vs State Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh(R) - Safe Republican Gain

New Mexico: Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish(D) vs Attorney Susana Martinez(R) - Tossup

Alaska: State Representative Ethan Berkowitz(D) vs Businessman John Binkley(R) - Lean Republican Gain

Vulnerable Republican Seats:

New York: Governor Rudy Giuliani(R) vs State Senator David Paterson(D)- Lean Republican Hold

Massachusetts:  Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey(R) vs Attorney Deval Patrick(D) - Tossup

Connecticut:  Businessman Tom Foley(R) vs State Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz(D) - Lean Democratic Gain

Rhode Island: Businessman John Robitaille(R) vs State Treasurer Frank T. Caprio(D)- Likely Democratic Gain

Maryland: Lieutenant Governor Kristen Cox(R) vs State Attorney General Doug Gansler(D) - Lean Democratic Gain

Minnesota: Representative Tom Emmer(R) vs Former Senator Mark Dayton(D)  vs Mr. Tom Horner(I) - Tossup

Nevada: State Senator Joe Heck(R)  vs Attorney Rory Reed(D) - Lean Republican Hold

Oregon: Businessman Allen Alley(R) vs Former Governor John Kitzhaber(D) - Tossup

California: Los Angeles Mayor Arnold Schwarzenegger(R) vs State Attorney General Jerry Brown(D) - Tossup

Hawaii:  Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona(R) vs Former Representative Neil Abercrombie(D)- Likely Democratic Gain

King: Well Democrats are unlucky about the fact that so many of their governors are term limited especially in the Midwest and in red states which many cause them to lose many seats come Tuesday. Two exceptions two this are in Ohio where Governor Strickland can run for re-election since he was elected back in 2006 and while Republican John Kasich has run a strong campaign, Governor Strickland will probably win. The other exception is in Wyoming where thanks to a state supreme court ruling, Governor Dave Freudenthal can run for a third term which he is widely expected to do so.

Blitzer: What about for Republicans

King: Well they too are unlucky with the amount of term limited governors they have in blue states but its less than the Democrats so they likely wont suffer anywhere near the losses the Democrats will. Of course the race we will be watching the most is California where right now polls show a very tight race.


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« Reply #113 on: November 27, 2022, 02:20:03 AM »

Btw I’m unsure if I will be able to use the new map format for midterm coverages as it might cause me to exceed the character limit so I’ll probably just use the old format for midterm coverage
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« Reply #114 on: November 27, 2022, 05:47:15 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2022, 02:56:21 AM by Old School Republican »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 1):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

7:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer : Welcome to CNN’s coverage of the 2010 midterm elections , where we will be finding out who will control congress for the next two years as well as who will sit in the gubernatorial chair for 2/3rd of states tonight. The first polls have just closed and CNN can now project that Senator Evan Bayh has won re-election in Indiana, Senator Patrick Leahy has won re-election in Vermont , Senator Alveda King has won re-election in Georgia , Senator Lindsey Graham has won re-election in South Carolina and state attorney general Kelly Ayotte will be the next senator of New Hampshire . We are unable to make a projection right now in Kentucky but with 60% of the votes in , right now the Democrat Daniel Mongiardo holds a narrow lead .



Democrats 39
Republicans 31

Blitzer: In the Gubernatorial Races CNN Can project that in Vermont- Governor Jim Douglas will be elected to yet another term, in New Hampshire- Governor Gordon Humphrey will be reelected, in Georgia- Governor Johnny Isakson will be reelected and in South Carolina- State Attorney General Henry McMaster will be the next Governor.




Blitzer: So Far no surprise but Democrats are probably happy they are up in Kentucky

Borger: Oh 100%, the fact is Democrats have counted on keeping that senate seat in their pathway to keeping their majority as they believe Rand Paul who many believe was aided in the primary by the fact that he is the son of Ron Paul thus giving him a name recognition boost her otherwise wouldnt have, is way to extreme to win and right now it looks like that is the case

O'Brien: Oh I agree with Gloria but I would like to add some more evidence for this is the fact that Republicans are expected to pick up house seats in Kentucky tonight so it likely is Rand Paul is too right wing to win.

Gergen: I like to add that even if Rand Paul loses, tonight likely overall will be a good night for Kentucky Republicans given house wins there likely will help rebuild their bench there as currently they have no bench there. People talk about how bad a nominee Rand Paul is but the main issue is Kentucky Republicans bench was decimated by former Governor Fletcher who was very unpopular and now we are starting to see them rebuild.

Blitzer: Let's go over to John and see why Democrats are so happy about Kentucky so far

King: Well first of all as you can see Eastern Kentucky so far is solidly blue which is 100% good news for any Democrat running here but also importantly is major urban counties like Jefferson County is going democratic by even larger margins than it did two years ago in the presidential election so right now I would say things are indeed looking good for Democrats here. At the house level though as you can see, the Republicans are already projected to have picked up the 2nd and 4th district here and the question really is whether or not Former Congresswomen Anne Northup who was defeated two years ago can retake her seat.



7:30:


Blitzer: It's 7:30 in the East can CNN can now project that Congressman Rob Portman will be elected the next Senator of Ohio and in West Virginia - Senator Joe Manchin will be elected to finish out Vice President Jay Rockefeller term in the senate meaning he wont be up for election again till 2014.  We are unable to make a projection in the other West Virginia race or in North Carolina at the moment




Democrats 40
Republicans 32

Blitzer: Now with around 70% in Senator Daniel Mongiardo is still holding on to his narrow lead, while in Florida - Senator Bush has raced off to a 11 point lead and the heavily Republican panhandle has still not closed its polls yet.

In the Gubernatorial Race the polls have closed in Ohio but we are unable to make a projection there at the moment



Blitzer: In the Florida Gubernatorial Race right now the Republican Marco Rubio is leading by 7 points but keep in mind the polls have not closed in the panhandle yet so a potential hopes of a double digit win by Mr. Rubio there are still alive. So James what do you think of the results so far

Carville: Well I will say the race I am currently most watching is Kentucky 3 because if Anne Northup loses than its very likely we keep our losses below a dozen seats and that would put us in good shape to take back the house in 2012.

Matalin: I am still looking most at Florida as It will be interesting to see how much coattail effects Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio have and given how large the state is, that would increase our house potential.

Roland: Well my thoughts on the results so far is that right now it is too early to judge anything but I am optimistic about the senate at the moment.

Blitzer: Ok thanks for your thoughts and we will come back to you when we have some more results
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« Reply #115 on: November 30, 2022, 02:19:00 AM »
« Edited: December 01, 2022, 02:57:22 AM by Old School Republican »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 2):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

8:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer: It is 8 PM in the East and CNN Can now project that Senator Richard Shelby will be reelected in Alabama, Senator Jeb Bush will be reelected in Florida and Senator Tom Coburn will be reelected in Oklahoma. We can also project that in Connecticut- Congressman Chris Murphy will be the next senator of the state, in Illinois - Senator Lisa Madigan will win a full term to the senate, and in Maryland- Senator Barbara Mikulski will be reelected  We are unable to make a projection Missouri, or Pennsylvania



Democrats 43
Republicans 35

Blitzer: Right now around 80% of the votes are in Kentucky and the Democrat is still winning as well as them being ahead in North Carolina though the latter is expected.

In the Gubernatorial races CNN Can now project that in Alabama- Governor Jo Bonner will be reelected, in Florida- The Republican Marco Rubio will be the next governor of that state, in Oklahoma- Representative Mary Fallin will be the next Governor of the state and in Tennessee- The Republican Bill Haslam will be the next Governor of the state. We are unable to make a projection in the states of Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania .




Blitzer: So Bill what is your reaction so far to these results

Bennett: Well regardless of what happens in the Senate, I do think these governor results so far are encouraging as they are showing the Republican bench that had slowly had been thinned out over the past 6 years is rebuilding itself. Keep in mind this is where Presidential benches are formed and many times close advisors to Governors helps form your bench for future senate cycles so I can say tonight so far looks to be a great night from that front.

Gergen: So far the results at the state level have been looking good for the Republicans and something that is important to keep an eye on is how many row offices the GOP picks up tonight. Those are the offices where your future Governor and Senate nominees will come out off and my guess if the Republicans held a row office in Kentucky tonight, they would be leading that seat as Rand Paul would not have been the nominee .


8:30:

Blitzer: The polls have closed in Arkansas but while we cannot make a projection for its senate race , we are able to project that Governor Mike Beebe has been reelected as Governor of Arkansas.



Blitzer: Two major senate races we can project though is we can project in North Carolina- Senator Jim Hunt will be elected to a full term and in Kentucky- Senator Daniel Mongiardo has been reelected.



Democrats 45
Republicans 35

Blitzer: Around a third of the vote is in West Virginia so far and currently the Democrat Natalie Tennant holds a narrow lead. So lets go over to John King and the magic wall to see West Virginia, and where the votes have come in so far

King: Well one thing to keep in mind is more of the Democratic Western part of the state has come in than the more Republican Eastern part so the votes in so far do skew Democratic. Now the question is how are the votes coming in each individual county compared to the presidential election two years ago. Well one county to look at is Kanawha County in the middle of the state which is a county that the Republican Shelley Moore Capito believes she can over perform the average Republican given she represents that area, and so far she is winning it by 3 points while 2 years ago the President won it by 7. On the other hand in areas outside her district the swing as you can see from heavily Democratic McDowell County is no where near as profound as so far she is only outperforming Senator Bush by 3 points here.

So I would say right now this West Virginia race pretty much is gonna go down to the wire at this moment and it will be decided by really how much Mrs. Tennant can keep the swing towards the republicans in the counties outside Mrs. Capito's district down

Blitzer: How important is this seat

King: Very important as if you give this seat to the Democrats, along with New York and Hawaii then Democrats are up to 48 just 2 away. Now here is the issue for the Republicans and that is if you also give California to the Democrats which the Democrat Barbara Boxer was leading by high single digits in the polls, then Democrats are at 49 just one away. This means Republicans cant afford to have even one more loss and keep in mind Arkansas, Wisconsin, Nevada and Washington all have Democratic incumbents up and beating incumbents is never easy as well as hold off stiff challenges in Pennsylvania and Missouri so a loss in West Virginia very much could make a senate majority realistically out of reach as how hard it would be otherwise.

Blitzer: So Paul what is your thoughts on the Democrats holding on to Kentucky and North Carolina

Begala: Well I would say North Carolina was expected but Kentucky is definitely good news and shows to me the Democrats have become a party that can compete with Republicans across the board and win, while for many years it was not true. Like we likely will be losing the house tonight given the early results but I think its still very possible to keep the losses to a more manageable level that makes gaining the house back two years from now very possible.

Lastly I think it shows that President Hillary Clinton learned from her husband's mistakes in his first two years and due to that it has not repeated.

O'Brien: I also want to add the idea that this loss is only due to bench problems for the senate republicans is just not true. Keep in mind Senator Mongiardo 6 years ago was not well known but Democrats found him and recruited him and really the Republicans did not do that here and really if you see the strongest Republican candidates, they all are already well known figures so that shows that the Republicans need to relearn how to do the ground work in finding lesser known candidates and turn them into successes.

After 14 years of controlling both houses of congress, I believe that they have forgotten that lesson and thats why Kentucky happened.

Matalin: I think again people are jumping to too early of a conclusion as really for Democrats to have had any shot of retaining the senate they had to keep Kentucky and thats what happened. Now the question is if we can match it by taking West Virginia cause if we do then we might be up here tomorrow morning until we know which party has won control of the senate.
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« Reply #116 on: December 01, 2022, 03:17:29 AM »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 3):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

9:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer: It is 9 PM in the East and CNN can now project that in Arizona- Senator Grant Woods has been reelected, in Kansas- Senator Sam Brownback will be reelected, in Louisiana- Senator Bobby Jindal will be reelected, in North Dakota- Governor John Hoeven will be elected which will also mark the first time tonight CNN can project a senate seat has changed hands between parties, and in South Dakota- Senator John Thune will be reelected .

We can also project that in New York- Senator Chuck Schumer has been reelected who many speculate may become the next Democratic Leader in the Senate if Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is defeated. We are unable to currently make a projection in Colorado and Wisconsin




Democrats 46(-1)
Republicans 40(+1)

Blitzer: In the Gubernatorial races CNN Can now project in Arizona- Former Education Secretary Lisa Keegan will be the next governor of the state of Arizona, in Kansas- The Republican Ron Thornburgh will be the next governor of the state, in Nebraska Lieutenant Governor Dave Heineman will be the next Governor of that state, in South Dakota- the Republican Dennis Daugaard will be the next governor of that state , in Wyoming - State Auditor Rita Meyer will be the next governor and in Texas- We Can project that former Republican Nominee Senator George W Bush will return to the governor's mansion as he will defeat current Democratic Governor Max Sandlin in this year's Governor's race.

We can project in Colorado- Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper will be the next governor of Colorado after winning a 3 way race , and in Rhode Island- State Treasurer Frank Caprio will be the next governor and will also mark the first Democratic pickup of the evening. We are unable to make projections in Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York , andWisconsin



R+2

Blitzer: In the uncalled governor races right now the Democrats led in Maine, Connecticut, Maryland, Pennsylvania , and Ohio while Republicans lead in Wisconsin , Michigan while Illinois and Massachusetts is basically a tie . So Gloria what do you think about this

Borger: I will like to point out that in Pennsylvania the heavily Democratic areas tend to come in first and right now it seems like Republicans are doing better than they should be in the Governor's race at this point and you can see a clear difference between the Governor and Senator race for example.

Gergen: I will agree with that but fundamentally the important thing to note is that so far the Democrats in the senate seem to being doing what they need to in order to keep the senate . Of course its early but Democrats seem to be doing what they need to in order to keep the senate at this moment.


9:18:

Blitzer: Stand by as CNN Is now ready to make a major major projection

Breaking News: Republicans Win Control of the House of Representatives
Blitzer: CNN can now project the Republicans will regain control of the House of Representatives as we can project that they will more than pick up the 4 seats they needed to win control of that house and CNN is now ready to make a forecast for what we think the House will look like when all the votes are cast and here it is.

Republicans: 223-239(+8-+24)
Democrats: 196-212(-24 - -8)

So Bill you seem to be very happy

Bennett: Of Course I am and due to this we no longer will have the house run by Nancy Pelosi, and Charles Rangel which is a great thing. John Boehner will be returning to the spearkship where I believe he did an admirable job last time and I will be interested to see how things go .

Cooper: One thing that will be interesting to see is how John Boehner does as speaker this time as the last time he was speaker the Republicans still had a trifecta while this time its very possible he will have to work with a Democratic Senate and he will have to work with a Democratic White House. With us now is Newt Gingrich who led the Republican Party to their watershed win in 1994. So Speaker Gingrich what do you think

Gingrich: It is a very exciting moment Anderson and I can tell you that the Republicans will be ready to get the ground ready from day 1 to pass important legislation to help strengthen our economy.

Cooper: Having come in the 1994 wave, what are some major differences you will see in this Republican house vs yours

Gingrich: I think one major difference is that when we came in 1994, not a single one of us had served in a majority Republican House so the changes we were proposing were more unprecedent but over time we got many of those changes through while the vast majority of the incoming house will have served in the last Republican Congress, so they will be able to pick up where they left off at least as a starting ground.

Cooper: Well the difference is that unlike two years ago there will be a Democratic President and potentially a Democratic Senate so how will they be able to pick off where they left off

Gingrich: Well I mean at least in the bills they would pass in the house, and of course there would have to be some negotiations done but I think there is a good deal of their plans they can get through, whether on energy, deficit reduction and more.

Cooper: Thanks for coming on

Gingrich: No Problem Anderson

Blitzer: Ok we will be right back

9:34:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that the Republican Tom Corbett will defeat the Democrat Dan Onorato to become the next Governor of Pennsylvania.



R+3

Blitzer: This race is no surprise and while the Democrat is still leading in the raw count our estimate does show that once all the votes are counted the Republican will win by a margin in the upper single digits and current data shows it. On the other hand in the Senate , Democrats are doing very well right now, and lets go over to John King to see how things are going there

King: Well Wolf as you can see the Democrats are doing very well in Philadelphia, Scranton and Pittsburgh while Republicans are doing very well in the central rural part of the state. The question like in any state comes down to how the suburbs of those 3 and two key counties in Philadelphia  is one Bucks County which currently Pat Toomey has a 5 point lead while Senator Bush lost it but in Montgomery and Chester County he pretty much is performing as you can see where Senator Bush did.

A key issue for him though is up here in the Scranton area where he is losing both Lackawanna and Luzerne by similar margins to Senator Bush so the question really is how much gains can he make elsewhere to make up the deficit as otherwise it looks like the result will be yet another close major loss for the GOP here.


9:48:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that in Colorado- Senator Pete Coors has been reelected



Democrats 46(-1)
Republicans 41(+1)

Blitzer: In West Virginia, the Democrat Natalie Tennant's Lead has dropped to under a point with around 73% of the vote in so in other words this race is a complete dead heat at the moment, in Missouri with around 40% of the vote in the Republicans are ahead but we will check in the moment what that will mean and in Arkansas with around 55% of the vote in, the Democrat Blanche Lincoln is locked in a tight battle but is ahead. So now lets go to John King and the magic wall to look deeper at these 3 crucial senate races, first in West Virginia

King: As I told earlier Mrs. Tennant's lead keeps dropping as more of the Republican Eastern Half comes in and just taking a quick glance, it seems like there are more votes yet to come from counties going to Mrs. Capito than Counties going to Mrs. Tennant which is certainly some good news for the Republicans here in West Virginia. Now in Arkansas the Democrat Blanche Lincoln holds a narrow lead but as you can see its close so it could still go either way and in Missouri I would say its way to early to make any assessment yet as much of St Louis and Kansas City arent in yet. I would say in an hour or so we should be able to make an assessment who is favored but its still too early.

Blitzer: So James what are your thoughts on the Senate

Carville: I will say looking at the numbers, I am pretty optimistic about Pennsylvania and Arkansas and keep in mind if we win those two seats we are at 48 and only two seats away away which means if we win Hawaii and California we keep our majority. So I would say I feel very good about our chances since it seems like Republicans best hopes will have to come with pulling an upset in California and I can tell you its hard for me to see them winning California on a night where they are losing Pennsylvania for example.

Castellanos: Well I would not count at Toomey yet in Pennsylvania or Boozman in Arkansas but I can tell you the fact is it still looks very likely we will make gains in the senate and in the house will probably have bigger Republican majorities than we did in the first two years of the McCain administration and the last two years so I wouldnt get too excited by the Democratic perfomance

O'Brien: I agree with the fact Democrats shouldnt be very happy tonight ,but what I think what this night shows is both parties are sort of at a parity and that stuff like party benches, and quality of individual campaigns matter again which is very different than how things were for quite a while before 2008. Before 2008 the Democrats to win would have to clearly nominate better set of candidates than the Republicans as if all things were even the GOP clearly had the advantage but that is no longer true. Now if all things are even , the better candidate will win and I think thats good for the country.

The issue for the GOP was that two years isnt just enough time to adjust to this new reality but I think this election clearly shows that we are in a new age in politics and we may be in it for a while.

Blitzer: Ok we will be taking a break but will be back at the top of the hour for new projections
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« Reply #117 on: December 04, 2022, 03:18:33 AM »
« Edited: December 05, 2022, 04:25:24 AM by Old School Republican »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 4):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

10:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer: It's 10 in the East and CNN can now project that Chuck Grassley will be reelected in Iowa and in Utah - Senator Bob Bennett will be reelected. We are unable to make a projection in Nevada at this moment



Democrats 46(-1)
Republicans 43(+1)

Blitzer: In the Gubernatorial Races we are unable to make a projection in Nevada or Iowa but we can now project that in Michigan- Former Senator Spencer Abraham will be the next Governor of the State and in Connecticut-  The Democrat Susan Bysiewicz will be reelected and in Maine - Former Democratic Representative Tom Allen will be the next Governor



R+3

Blitzer: Anderson back to you

Cooper: With us now is Representative and current DNC Chair Kirsten Gillibrand and HHS Secretary and former DNC Chair Howard Dean. So Representative Gillibrand first congrats on your reelection tonight and what are your thoughts of the results so far

Gillibrand: Thanks Anderson, and my thoughts first are that one that we should wait before making a final judgment or so on this night for all the results to come in but so far I will say I am pretty optimistic of the results coming in . While we are disappointed to lose the house, the fact is it seems very likely our seat loss will be a good deal less than the historical midterm average and number two I think we will hold on to the senate.

Cooper: Secretary Dean, when you first became chair of the DNC you put in what is called the 50 state strategy . How important was that for the party to be as competitive as they are today in all these states

Dean: Anderson I think it was very important as keep in mind a large part of the Republican advantage was the fact that we for so many years we basically let them have full control of the narrative in so many areas across the nation as we deemed them unwinnable. What we did instead was say that no matter whether you are in a solid Republican area or a Democratic area, we will be out their trying to fight for your vote and that just isnt every two years but every day.

That means having volunteers on the ground in places that are even 80% Republican as I was certain in many of these areas, those voters werent really that Republican but rather just voting for them cause that is what they were used to and unless you make your case we would not be able to change that. Do we think we will be able to win every area, no but if in close house or senate races if the Republican candidates are winning counties or towns by say 50 points rather than 60 then that helps us and I think you have been seeing that tonight.
 

Cooper: Congresswomen Gillibrand do you agree with Secretary Dean here

Gillibrand : Oh 100% and as someone who was partly recruited to run in a red seat by Secretary Dean , I can tell you that it is critical that we fight everywhere . The stated goal of our party is to ensure people who dont have a voice otherwise can get it, and unless we are willing to show up in all types of communities then we arent showing that. So I would say the 50 state strategy was critical in us making the gains we did in 2006, in taking power in 2008 and in minimizing our losses tonight.

Cooper: Last question, do you think Governor Giuliani will be re-elected or can an upset happen

Gillibrand: Well it was always gonna be tough to beat Governor Giuliani but upsets have happened before and David Paterson is a great candidate and no matter what happens tonight , Democrats should thank him for the campaign he ran.


Cooper: Ok thanks for coming on

Blitzer: We will be back in a moment


10:25:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that Governor Rudy Giuliani has indeed been reelected in New York like the polls predicted he would and that the Democrat Doug Gansler will be the next Governor of Maryland



R+3

Blitzer: So Governor Rudy Giuliani gets another term though not nearly as easily as people thought his victory would be at the start of his campaign. Roland what do you think

Martin: Oh yes and I think imo this would be a missed opportunity by the Democrats as if they went all in on this race ,  I think Governor Giuliani very much could have been defeated. It is not much of a surprise though as the fact is despite being governor now for 8 years , his reputation from his mayoral days still persists which makes it hard for a Democrat to get the margins they need in New York City to win state wide.

Also another factor that hurt was the fact that the mayor of New York City, Donald Trump, despite being a Democrat is also friends with Rudy Giuliani and I suspect that is a reason he did not hit the campaign trail for the Governor's race and that probably hurt turnout efforts and what not.

Borger: Well I am not sure how much that made a difference as the thing is Governor Giuliani is so well known that at this point you either like him or you don't, and the fact is more people liked him than not which is why I think he won again.

Cooper: Let's go back to Wolf as we have a key race alert at this moment

Blitzer: Yes Anderson and that is as you can see in the West Virginia Race, the Republican Shelley Moore Capito now leads the Democrat Natalie Tennant with just a little more than 85% of the vote in. Now in some other races so far Senator Blanche Lincoln is still leading in Arkansas with 70% of the vote in and in Wisconsin with around 35% of the vote in , the Republican Paul Ryan leads. Now lets go over to John King to take a look at these 3 races

King: Yes Wolf and first if you go to West Virginia you can see that again looking at the counties won by Mrs. Tennant and Mrs.Capito there is still more vote out in the counties won by Mrs. Capito so at this point this race certainly favors Mrs. Capito. CNN is not ready to call it yet as it seems like they are wanting to wait for the next batch or two to report but if it keeps going like this then its very hard to see the Democrats keeping this seat tonight.

Blitzer: What about in Arkansas

King: Well as you can see the map is filling up like expected with the North Western part of the state being mostly Republican and the Eastern and Southern Part of the State being mostly Democratic. Now the swing areas are more less the central part of the state but even here we have some of the Democratic strongholds such as Pulaski county which is going to Senator Lincoln by a whopping 25 points right now and Republican counties such as White which is going to Congressman Boozman by 16 so far .

A key bellweather county in the state is Garland County a county the President won by 7 points in 2008 and keep in mind she won the state by 6 , and so far Senator Lincoln is winning this county by 3 points so if the same story holds true she theoratically should have the advantage but I would say we will know better when we are around 90% in rather than 70%.

Blitzer: What about Wisconsin

King: Well right now Paul Ryan the Republican leads but I want to point out right now there are more votes in from Republican strangleholds such as the suburbs around Milwaukee then there are in the Democratic strangleholds such as Milwaukee and Madison. One early good news for the Democrats is that down in Southwest Wisconsin in Grant County , currently Senator Feingold holds a 51-48 lead there which is the exact margin that President Clinton won by here 2 years ago when she won the state and if you go back in time to 2000 and 2004 when President McCain won it you can see he narrowly won this county. So right now that has to be good news for the Democratic camp but there is a difference and that is down all the way in the South Eastern part of the state in Kenosha county and Racine County, Paul Ryan is overperforming what Republicans usually do which is no surprise given he once represented this part of the state so this race likely will come down to the wire and we wont know who won until all the votes are counted.

King: Ok thanks


10:47:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that Congresswomen Shelly Moore Capito will defeat Democratic State Secretary of State Natalie Tennant to become the first Republican Senator from West Virginia since 1958 .



Democrats 46(-2)
Republicans 44(+2)

Blitzer: So David this is a big deal

Gergen : Yes it is as you pointed out no Republican has been senator there since 1958 and ironically the person to flip this seat Democratic was Robert Byrd so they will be getting back the seat that he flipped Democratic. This in my mind is also the beginning of a fully competitive West Virginia which while has been Democratic for so long going back to the 1930s, had shown signs of becoming a future swing state in 2000 and in my opinion is now here as a swing state.

Carville: Listen it is disappointing to lose this seat but looking at the numbers, I have to agree with David that West Virginia is now indeed a swing state and not a blue state anymore at least on a federal level. At a state level it is still solidly blue and I think will remain so for a while.

Number 2 and that is we are still up in Arkansas and Pennsylvania and if we hold on to those seats the fact is we only need California and Hawaii to keep the Senate so I think at this stage of the night the Republicans absolutely needed this win more than the Democrats

Matalin: I agree with James that we needed it more but I think much of the vote is still out in Republican areas in Pennsylvania so if that race goes Republican we may be looking at Wisconsin and Missouri to see who control the senate and I think we are favored in Missouri so Wisconsin very much could decide the whole thing.

Blitzer: Ok thanks and right before we go on a break we want to show you are updated house projection

Republicans: 225-236(+10-+21)
Democrats: 199-210(-21 - -10)
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« Reply #118 on: December 05, 2022, 01:49:39 PM »


Aren't lt. governor nominees selcted before the election?
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« Reply #119 on: December 05, 2022, 01:54:13 PM »


Nope in Florida it’s chosen after the primary :

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna45107

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« Reply #120 on: December 08, 2022, 03:22:32 AM »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 5):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

11:00:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer: The polls have closed in the West Coast and CNN can now project Senator Mike Crapo will be reelected in Idaho and in Hawaii- Senator Daniel Inouye who is also the longest serving member of the senate will be reelected. We are unable to make a projection in California or Washington at the moment



Democrats 47(-2)
Republicans 45(+2)


Blitzer: In the gubernatorial races we can project that Governor Butch Otter will be reelected in Idaho and in Hawaii- the Democrat Former Representative Neil Abercrombie will be the next governor of that state. We currently are unable to make a projection in either Oregon or California. We are able to project though that in Ohio - Governor Ted Strickland has been reelected in a race that ended up much closer than anyone would have thought about just a few months ago as well as project that in Nevada- the Republican Joe Heck will be the next Governor of that state.



R+2

Blitzer: So John why is it that CNN was able to call Ohio even though by the raw numbers it still looks  very close

King: Well the reason is very simple and that is the greatest batch of votes to come from are still from Cuyahoga County which is a Democratic stranglehold and Mr. Kasich really needed a 2 and a half 3 point lead probably to offset this final batch. Now as you mentioned the race was much closer than people expected and that is because Governor Kasich has done very well in the central rural parts of the state like a Republican usually needs to as well as win Hamilton County which means the race was gonna be close.

Blitzer: Ok lets send it back to the panel now

Cooper: Keeping Ohio in Democratic hands is definitely a sigh of relief for the Democrats given that it is a battleground state come 2012 and also given all the other governor results in the Midwest tonight

Begala: Oh 100% and the fact is Director Kasich came closer to knocking of Governor Strickland than anyone would have thoughts a few months ago but a win is a win and I am very happy that things such as redistricting, and the Ohio Budget will not be managed by someone who was a close friend of Newt Gingrich. Also the fact is that the Ohio GOP doesnt deserve to be back in power just 4 years after the Taft years so its good they have lost this race.

Castellanos: I think imo John Kasich ran an impressive campaign and I don't think we have seen the last from him. I think its very possible we either see him run for the senate two years from now or making another run for governor 4 years from now when Governor Strickland is term limited though Jon Husted the Republican State Secretary of State elect has a very impressive resume too so I think the future of the Ohio GOP is pretty bright.

11:23:

Blitzer: We are able to make a very major projection right now and that is Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has gone down to defeat in Nevada against the popular Republican governor of that state Brian Sandoval who will go on to be the next senator of that state.



Democrats 47(-3)
Republicans 46(+3)

Blitzer: In the other senate races so far , the Democrats still hold a lead in Pennsylvania and Arkansas while the Republicans hold a lead in Wisconsin and Missouri though their leads in both states keeps narrowing as more and more votes come in. Let's go over to John King and take a look at Pennsylvania

King: Yes currently the Democrat Joe Sestak still holds a narrow lead over the Republican Pat Toomey and for example while Pat Toomey has done better for example in places like Montgomery County than Senator Bush did in 2008, he is still doing around where President McCain did in 2004 and remember Senator Biden won that state back in 2004. In fact if you go county by county this race right now looks a bit like that 2004 so right now I would say the edge seems to be for Sestak but we will be waiting for probably an hour or so before we know who will win this state tonight.

Blitzer: Anderson back to you

Cooper: So David , Harry Reid goes down which means he will be the 4th consecutive party leader to lose

Gergen: Yes it is astonishing that from 1954 to 2002 not a single party leader lost while since 2004 we have had a party leader lose in each election with Tom Dashale losing in 2004, Slade Gorton losing in 2006, Mitch McConnell losing in 2008 and Harry Reid losing now in 2010. I think this shows that one parties will target senate leaders way more than they do in the past so I think parties might reconsider how much influence that position has as they dont want to be reliant too much on a senator who can easily lose

Bennett: First I will say I am beyond thrilled to see Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid go down in defeat and maybe the next Democratic leader might take the lesson not to be as partisan as he was . Anyway I do agree with David that this trend might weaken the position of Senate Leader as parties may not want to give too much power to senators who very well may lose . Or it might result in senators from safe states getting leadership too much and I think that would be an error as while yes they might be safe , you dont want someone who likely doesnt have the knowledge on how to win in swing areas leading you cause that could cause losses there . So it will be interesting too see which direction the Democrats go in but I think it will be the Safe Seat route as I dont see anyone but Chuck Schumer or Dick Durbin being the new leader.

Carville: It certainly will be an interesting to see who becomes the new leader but I would like to point out that I disagree with the idea that senators from safe states cant appeal to people in battlegrounds. Remember that one safe states have areas that vote Republican or are battlegrounds too and Chuck Schumer tonight and back in 2004 has done extremely well in places like Upstate New York and Staten Island which are usually places Democrats dont win and Dick Durbin has shown over and over he can do very well in rural Illinois which again isnt a place Democrats win Presidentially . So I reject the idea that either of them wont be good choices as I think both would be good.


11:47:

Blitzer: CNN is now able to project that in the State of California- Senator Barbara Boxer will be reelected and in Arkansas- Senator Blanche Lincoln will be reelected. This means the Democrats will only need to win one more outstanding senate race in order to keep their Senate Majority.



Democrats 49(-3)
Republicans 46(+3)

Blitzer: Now with us is RNC Chair and Congresswomen Ann Wagner . So Chairwomen Wagner first congratulations on your reelection and what are your reaction to the overall results so far. Seems like a mixed night overall

Wagner: While tonight was not another 1994 , I would say it was still a good night for the Republican Party. First we will likely end up with more house seats than we had for most of those 14 years that we controlled the house and in the senate while we certainly would have hoped to do better we have so far the fact is it was always gonna be tough to take the senate this year and we will end up picking up seats whch is always good. The best results so far are for governor where if results hold we very much could pick up 5 maybe 6 seats tonight which is a really really good result

Blitzer: Well while we cannot pick up a gain right now CNN is able to project that in Massachusetts-  Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey will win and be the next governor of that state



R+3

Blitzer: So Chairwoman Wagner what is your reaction

Wagner: As someone who has come to know now Governor-Elect Healey I can tell you that she will be a fantastic governor and this result shows that the Republicans have the ability still to win anywhere and that is our goal.

Blitzer: Ok thanks for coming on and we will be taking a quick break so far
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« Reply #121 on: December 08, 2022, 08:01:18 AM »

Like her husband and the FGOTUS, she lost the House her the first term but it’s not as bad as 1994.
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« Reply #122 on: December 08, 2022, 08:15:23 AM »

Bill Clinton lost the Senate too in 1994 and barring a Major Shock Democrats will win Washington State giving them the 50th Vote. Also, I'd rather be Joe Sestak than Pat Toomey in PA meaning D's will have 51 Votes and VP Rockefeller doesn't even have to break Ties.

Hillary doing much better than her Husband!
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« Reply #123 on: December 11, 2022, 12:44:59 AM »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Part 6):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

12:21:
https://youtu.be/PfGSJJq8Vyg

Blitzer: CNN can now project in Wisconsin - the Republican Scott Walker will be the next governor of that state and in Iowa- Former Governor Terry Branstad will return to the gubernatorial mansion as he has won.



R+5

Blitzer: We are still unable to make a projection for the Wisconsin Senate race so lets go over to John King and see how that race is going

King: Well Paul Ryan still leads and while his lead his dropping, the reason why his camp is very optimistic is that down in Kenosha County a county that usually votes Democratic, right now Mr. Ryan holds a a 6 point lead there and again while many people may look at these small rural counties and say they dont have much voters, remember in Wisconsin they are the swing vote. The Urban Areas are Democratic, The Suburbs are Republican while the Rural Areas are your swing vote and right now  if you look at one bellweather county such like Richland County , Paul Ryan ended up winning that county by 1 point. Dont get me wrong this race will go to the wire and we likely wont know a winner for another hour and a half to two hours but that is why Paul Ryan's camp is optimistic right now.

Blitzer: What about in Missouri

King: Well Missouri is another classic bellweather state and Democrats got a great recruit here in Governor Claire McCaskill and right now Jefferson County a democratic leaning suburb of St Louis , Governor McCaskill is leading by 7 points and if you compare it two two years ago President Clinton won it by 8. Now that might seem to be good news for the Republicans given how close the state and given that turnout in the cities are usually less in midterms than Presidential level, what is also true is rural areas are not as Republican in midterms as Presidential elections so you sort of get a tradeoff there.

So take Ripley county which was a county that Senator Bush won by 20 points , its only going to Congressman Roy Blunt by 15 points tonight which again shows you the trade off. We see that in many places in Rural counties.

Blitzer: So we likely will have to wait till the end before we know a winner

King: Probably because there really isnt that much of a difference in the suburban vote from 2 years ago so we have to wait and see who benefits from the trade off in the fact that there will be lesser turnout in cities in midterms but also lesser gop support in rural areas as well. Im not really sure so we will have to wait and see

Blitzer: While its early how is Washington looking

King: Well right now Governor Rossi leads but again much of Seattle has yet to come in and that is overwhelmingly Democratic and right now King County is voting 63-37 for the Democrat which if you compare it to his gubernatorial race from 2004 , it voted 57-41 Democratic and I can tell you that Republican probably want to be around 40% here. Also in the surrounding counties in Snohomish County, it currently is a tie which again Governor Rossi probably wants to be up here by 2-3 points. So right now I will say there is a long way to go but right now I will say this race tilts to the Democrats as Governor Rossi is not hitting the benchmarks he wants to in order to win this state.

Blitzer: Before we go on break lets show what our house projection is at the moment

Republicans: 228-233(+13-+18)
Democrats: 202-207(-13-18)

12:47:

Blitzer: Stand by as we have a major major projection to make

Breaking News: Democrats Keep Control of the United States Senate
Blitzer: CNN Can now project the Democrats will win the Senate and the reason we can say so is because CNN can now project that in Pennsylvania- Joe Sestak will defeat Pat Toomey to become the next senator of that state. This means Democrats will have at least 50 senate seats which means even if Republicans win every other seat on the board , the senate will be 50-50 meaning that Vice President Rockefeller would break ties in the senate.



Democrats 50(-2)
Republicans 46(+2)

Blitzer: What is your reaction James

Carville: I am extremely happy by the news that we will be keeping the senate and I am extremely excited by the fact that we will be getting a great new senator in Joe Sestak as well. I also will like to add that I do think the Democrats wont be reliant on Vice President Rockefeller either as I do think we will keep Washington given the fact that Governor Rossi so far is not meeting the benchmarks Republicans need in many of these major counties in order for a Republican to win Washington. I am not really sure about Wisconsin or Missouri but the fact is both those are pure tossups so probability would say we win one of those seats so I would say we probably will have 52 seats come January.

Matalin: Listen the results of the senate is disappointing but the fact is we will still end up making gains at the end of tonight and we should have a decent size margin in the house so the fact is the Democrats will be having less power come January then they do today so I dont think this a celebrating moment for the Democrats

O'Brien: I do not think this is a victory for Democrats given the results in the house, but Democrats do have a lot to be pleased about. The fact that you have had a Democratic Senator be reelected in Kentucky, pick up a seat in Pennsylvania and probably hold off a tough challenge from a Republican in Washington gives them a lot to hope about. Its not long ago that these races even if you had the same set of candidates as you do today would have all resulted in Republican victories so I think this election shows the Democrats are more institutionally powerful than they have been in a while and that is something Democrats can be pleased about.

1:00:

Blitzer: The polls have closed in Alaska and CNN can now project that Senator Lisa Murkowski will be reelected . While many be asking why we were able to project this race at poll closing time, keep in mind much of the polls in the state closed at midnight so we have already gotten a good deal of results and what we have from that results has given our election team confidence to project that Senator Murkowski will be reelected.



Democrats 50(-2)
Republicans 47(+2)

Blitzer: We can also make a projection in the Alaska Governor's race as CNN can now project that- The Republican John Binkley will be the next governor of that state. Some good news for the Democrats though is that we can also project that in Minnesota- Former Senator Mark Dayton will win and be the next governor of that state.



R+5

Blitzer: The Republicans also so far currently lead in the remaining outstanding states and lets go over to John King and the magic wall to see where the outstanding votes are coming from.

King: Well lets start with Illinois as we have over 95% in where the Republican Bill Brady leads in which if he holds would be a major major upset. Well the reason he is up as you can see he is winning every county but Cook County but the reason why its so close is Democrats really only need Cook County to win. Right now in Cook County the Democrat Patrick Quinn currently leads by 32 points here and if that remains the margin , then likely the upset happens and Mr. Brady will be the next Governor but we dont know where the outstanding vote is left in Cook so we will wait and see how this race goes.

Blitzer: What about California

King: Well this was by far the most exciting governor's race of the nation between the super star Arnold Schwarzenegger and old pro Jerry Brown.  I would say right now the overall vote doesnt matter as more votes have come in from the Republican areas than Democratic and I will say the biggest x factor is how does Los Angeles County and how well does Mayor Schwarzenegger do. I would say these are the bench marks I would say if Los Angeles County is within 10-11 points then Mayor Schwarzenegger will likely win but if Attorney General  Brown is able to win this county by over 15-16 points than he will likely win. Right now Mr.Brown is only winning the county by 9 points but LA county is a huge county and likely will probably win by 13 or so at the end of the night so it likely will be a cliff hanger. Keep in mind if it is we likely wont know a winner here for a week or two as well

Blitzer: Ok what about Oregon

King: Well right now the Republican Allen Alley leads but again more of the Democratic areas in than the Republican ones . Also once again the key in any close race the close in suburbs decide the race and in the biggest suburb Washington County it is a tie so again we likely are gonna be waiting all night too see who wins. Now looking at Multnomah County Democrats usually need 70% to have an advantage here while Republicans need around 31% to have a an advantage and right now neither of these benchmarks are getting hit so we are likely gonna take a while before we know who the winner is here.

Blitzer: Lastly what about New Mexico

King: Well the Republican Susan Martinez is ahead by 4 points and the good news for her is Bernalillo County, a county Democrats need to win by upper single digits, is only being won by them in lower single digits. So unless something unexpected happens in the next dump or so, Susana Martinez will be the next Governor.

1:39:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that The Republican Susana Martinez will be the next Governor of New Mexico and with that win will become the first Hispanic Women to be elected Governor in the history of the state as well .



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Blitzer : When it comes to these governor races , the republicans are doing very well tonight , having already picked up 6 seats

Bennett : Yes and in fact when it comes to the governor races the Republicans are in fact having a wave tonight as we have been winning state by state and across the country . If we win Illinois, California, and Oregon as I think we will then we will have won all but 8 races tonight and that’s just a huge wave , and comparable to 1994 at this level . Number two I think this also has greatly expanded our bench for the presidential level and also sort of give us a laboratory to try out all new sorts of ideas that we can then take to a national level in the years to come .

Begala : Well firstly I want to congratulate my Republican friends for the night they are having at the governor level but I want to point out this is not 1994. Having talked to sources of mine I can tell you that while yes we do expect to lose 250 to 300 or so seats in the state legislature across the nation , keep in mind in 1994 we lost well over 500 state legislative seats so it’s no where near the types of of losses we faced back then . This type of loss is more or less normal if you look across history .

Gergen : well I would like to point out that yes it’s not 1994 at the state legislative level , these victories at the gubernatorial level will allow republicans to test out many of their ideas which does again help them continue to have new ideas to bring to the national level which is huge .

  
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« Reply #124 on: December 13, 2022, 02:17:40 AM »

CNN : 2010 Election Night Coverage(Rest of the Results):



Source: https://youtu.be/LSzH3ZmF1p8

2:22:

Blitzer: CNN has a major project to make and that is we can project that Republican Bill Brady will defeat Governor Pat Quinn in a major major upset to become the next Governor of Illinois .



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Blitzer: In the Senate CNN is now able to project that in Wisconsin- Former OMB Director Paul Ryan will unseat two time Presidential Candidate Russ Feingold to become the next senator from that state



Democrats 50(-3)
Republicans 48(+3)

Blitzer: Some good news for the Democrats is in the other Midwestern Senate Race, Governor Claire McCaskill has taken the lead with about 95% of the vote in and counted.

Carville: Yes and I think it will hold and while I am disappointed to see us lose a senator like Russ Feingold, if we pick up Missouri we will make up for that senate loss and still probably end up around 52 senate seats which is a good night for us. As for the Governor's race in Illinois , listen its tough to lose it but I think the fact is the taint of Governor Blagojevich did cost us that race

Matalin: I think Missouri is still 50/50 but I do think this is a huge win for us. Russ Feingold was the leader of the progressive wing of the Democratic party and has been for the past six to seven years and now with him gone , I think that will neuter that wing and make it easier for the Republican House and a Democratic Senate and White House to work together. Second Paul Ryan is a very intelligent person who has great knowledge about tax policy and the budget and the senate will 100% be a better place with him in it.

Borger: Yes, I think conservatives will be 100% celebrating the fact that they not only defeated Russ Feingold but replaced him with Paul Ryan but I don't think you can say the progressive wing of the democratic party is neutered just yet. We will have to wait and see.

Matalin: Who do they have now , cause they can't go with Bernie Sanders cause him being a socialist would effectively destroy the progressive wing as well.

Borger: I don't think it would be Bernie Sanders but it could be someone else, we will have to wait and see as there probably will be a senator who steps up .


2:53:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that in Missouri - Governor Claire McCaskill will defeat Congressman Roy Blunt to become the next senator of that state.



Democrats 51(-2)
Republicans 48(+2)

Blitzer: So we only have one senate race left and that is Washington so lets go over to John King and see how thats going

King: Well Governor Rossi is still ahead in the raw county but again a lot of this is cause in the state of Washington has a Republican counting bias meaning the republican areas come in first so the overall tally is misleading. What again is important is if Governor Rossi is meeting the sort of thresholds he is getting in the Greater Seattle Metro area so lets go county by county. Well first off Governor Rossi has taken the lead in Snohomish County but its so narrow that it very much could be a tie and again he would probably want to net around ten or so thousand votes here and he isnt doing that. Next lets go over to King County which is by far the largest county in the state and so far Governor Rossi is getting around 37.5% here and the problem is given how large the county is each % point more he has would net him more than ten thousand votes each so if he is not getting the 40% he probably has to make up a net of around twenty five thousand votes elsewhere . Lastly in Pierce county , currently he is up around four to five points which might seem to be good but he probably wanted that to be around six to seven so he is once again missing the bench marks here.

Blitzer: So Senator Murray is favored at the moment

King: At this moment I would say yes but there is still a lot of vote out so we will see

Blitzer: Back to you Anderson

Cooper: Was the loss in Missouri due to the Democrats nominating a strong candidate or the Republicans running a lackluster campaign here

O'Brien: Well I would say it is a mix of both, because Governor McCaskill was a very strong candidate having served as the state's governor for the past 6 years and Congressman Blunt did not run a really inspiring campaign either. What is interesting is you had pretty much the same exact scenario in Washington but Senator Murray ran a stronger campaign than Congressman Blunt did and it looks like at this moment she will narrowly win rather than narrowly lose

Gergen: I would not say its exact given Senator Murray is an incumbent senator and its very likely that Governor Rossi also wins if that seat was an open seat. I will say though one thing that hurt the Republicans here and in other senate races is that unlike in say 1994 or through most of the McCain years the Republicans did not have a sort of message articulated which would tell voters where they would like to take the nation if you gave them a majority. Instead what you heard was 1. They dont think Hillary Clinton is a good president which again pretty much everyone knows they believe that and 2. They kept bringing up all the good things they have done while they were last in power but again voters want to here what is your vision for the future cause they are electing you to solve those issues so that doesnt help much.

Cooper: How important is a national message given its not a presidential race

Gergen: Oh its very important given that one it can give incentive for voters to vote for candidates they otherwise may not want to in order to give your party a majority to enact that message into reality. Second it can make subpar candidates better as well as now they have something they can run on as well. So if the Republicans had such a message for Roy Blunt to hammer home during the campaign , I think he probably pulls it out and his campaign wouldnt have been considered so lackluster.


5:03:

Blitzer: CNN can now project in Washington- Senator Patty Murray will be reelected defeating a stiff challenger from Governor Dino Rossi and that will mean the composition of the senate will be 52 democrats to 48 republicans.



Democrats 52(-2)
Republicans 48(+2)


Blitzer: We can also make a projection in the Oregon Governor's race as we can now project that Former Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber will be returning to the Governor's Mansion in Salem and will win back that seat for his party after 8 years out of power.



R+6

Blitzer: On the other hand we will not be able to make a projection in California for a while as it is indeed too close to call so lets go over to John King one last time to see how that race is shaping up

King: As you can see Mayor Schwarzenegger leads overall but again there is still a lot of vote to count. First if you look at LA County , by far the largest county you can see there is still a quarter of the vote out there and currently Attorney General Brown is leading there by 12 and a half points which means it seems like neither candidate will get the numbers they want in LA County. Now the two biggest Republican Counties in the state are Orange County where currently Mayor Schwarzenegger is up by a 2:1 margin which is what the Republicans need there and in San Diego County is up by 17 which is again hitting his benchmarks there.

Now the two large democratic counties in the state are San Francisco County where Mr. Brown is up by a whopping 49 points and in Alameda where he is up 40 points. So again he is barely hitting the benchmarks a democrat there. A bellweather county in California is Lake County which doesnt have much votes but right now is very back and forth so yes Wolf we wont know who will win this race for some time

Blitzer: Who would you say is the favorite

King: I would say Mayor Schwarzenegger given he is closer to his benchmark in LA County than Attorney General Brown is and the fact that you would rather be up than down.

Blitzer : Thanks John and we at CNN also are able to major a final house projection for the night and this is what is


Republicans: 229-231(+14- +16)
Democrats: 204-206(-14 - -16)

Blitzer: These two house seats outstanding are also in California so we will not be able to make a projection for them for at least the next few days given how close those seats are. That will do it for our coverage of the 2010 Midterm Election and thank you for watching CNN and now we will send it back for our regularly  scheduled programming
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