GA-SEN (Beacon Research): Warnock +5 (LV)

[wbrocks67]

July 5-20, sponsored by Environmental Voter Project

RV: Warnock 48, Walker 36
LV: Warnock 48, Walker 43

https://www.environmentalvoter.org/sites/default/files/documents/july-2022-survey-topline-data.pdf

Beacon Research is also one half of the Fox News polling outfit

[Sir Mohamed]

Really seems like momentum is growing for Warnock. Just hope it won't be too early.

I'm keeping it as Tilt D for now. That said, if that keeps up and polls are similar in October, it would get close to Lean D. An epic recruitment failure by the GOP for sure. At this point, Walker needs to hope there's a big enough wave and Kemp gets him over the top. Increasingly it doesn't look like though.

[Horus]

Same poll has Kemp +8. That's quite the gap, even for this race.

[ShamDam]

Same poll has Kemp +8. That's quite the gap, even for this race.

#candidatequality

[President Johnson]

Same poll has Kemp +8. That's quite the gap, even for this race.

That's what makes me suspicious for a state like Georgia. Would be more believable in more elastic states.

However, it's possible both end up within the margin of error of that poll. I just hope Warnock wins outright and isn't forced to a runoff.

[Brittain33]

Georgia is inelastic but the Georgia Republican base may prove to be unexpectedly elastic when given an incompetent African-American candidate to vote for.

[Gracile]

I'm highly skeptical that the gap between the Senate and Gubernatorial races will be this pronounced in the end.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Other Source on 2022-07-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details