Compilation of vote shortages of defeated nominees
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Compilation of vote shortages of defeated nominees
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Author Topic: Compilation of vote shortages of defeated nominees  (Read 325 times)
Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
Junior Chimp
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Israel


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« on: July 25, 2022, 04:55:42 AM »

Inspired by the "Did Biden win comfortably or squeak by?" thread, I was wondering how many votes each defeated presidential nominee was short of a victory.

Trump was only 42,921 votes short of his re-election.
Gore needed a mere 538 votes in order to defeat Bush.

Calculating those margins can be very tricky. Not only do you need to find the correct combination of states, you also have to find out if a tie in the Electoral College would have been sufficient for a victory (like in Trump's case), and moreover if it's nt a mistake to disregard the votes of tiny states such as Vermont and Wyoming.
Strictly speaking, you'll even have to inform yourself about what happens in case of a tie in different states.

Has a compilation of such "vote shortages" ever been made?
If not, I think it's time to start one right now...
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,375
Israel


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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2022, 08:39:05 PM »

Okay, I'll begin with 2016:

Hillary needed to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and both Maine's and Nebraska's 2nd congressional districts in order to receive 270 electoral votes.

To do so, she would have needed 44,285 additional votes in PA, 10,705 additional votes in MI, 36,361 additional votes in ME-02, and 6,535 additional votes in NE-02.
That tallies up to 97,886 votes.

Has anybody found a lower overall margin for 2016?




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