1912 after another term of Roosevelt

[Sir Mohamed]

Does Taft get elected in 1912 instead of 1908, if TR actually ran for another term in 1908, which he obviously would have won with ease.

How do you think the 1912 unfolds with Theodore Roosevelt as the outgoing prez?

[Skill and Chance]

It depends on what TR is able to get done.  If his ideological friends gain power and/or he gets to fill more SCOTUS seats, it could make a huge difference to the country's development and he/populist Republicans could come out of it extremely popular.  If it's a TR landslide, some form of universal healthcare will get established, child labor will be mostly banned, and a women's suffrage amendment likely passes by the end of his term.  That would be a huge deal for the future of the country.  In this scenario, TR basically gets to choose his successor and this Republican very likely becomes president.  What happens after that is very up in the air.  This would be 5 terms in and, at some point, the country is going to tire of Republican leadership.  How the president following TR handles WWI could be the catalyst. 

On the other hand, he just barely scrapes by and he's just treated as a lame duck from day 1, it could set the Republican Party back a generation.  A lot of Republicans might think it's shameful he ran for a 3rd term in the first place, so he could end up being elected solely on crossover support from Northern progressive Dems.  They would be a ton of division within the party.  In this scenario, Democrats could easily end up wining every presidential election from 1912-28.   

[Agonized-Statism]

In this scenario, Democrats could easily end up wining every presidential election from 1912-28.

Even with a probable post-World War I recession? In the lame duck scenario, it's likely that Wilson wins in 1912 and things go more or less like OTL from there.