POV: 2024 Election Night Coverage (user search)
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  POV: 2024 Election Night Coverage (search mode)
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Author Topic: POV: 2024 Election Night Coverage  (Read 2086 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: July 30, 2022, 05:48:15 PM »

FL and especially VA look quite good for Dems unless those returns are all/disproportionately early votes.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2022, 09:03:29 PM »

Hmmm... Virginia continues to look very good for Democrats, and so does Indiana with the lead in Hamilton and hold in St. Joseph.  Lexington, Kentucky also looks like a clear Dem swing from 2020.

New Hampshire and Vermont both look like a clear swing toward Republicans. Georgia looks like it's coming in a bit more Republican than the 2020 results just about everywhere, which would mean a Trump win if that holds, but that could be counting bias.

Florida basically looks like 2020 now.  I expect a non-controversial Republican lead there.

Carolinas way too early to comment. 
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