POV: 2024 Election Night Coverage

[Tekken_Guy]

After November, things continued to worsen for Democrats. Due to a significant political crisis in China in January 2023, the recession worsened, only resolving in late 2023. However, the GOP began to use 2022 as a belief that their mandate was stronger than it actually was. A series of extremely controversial gun "liberty" and anti-environmental regulation bills at probably the most tone deaf times caused major escalations between Joe Biden and the GOP Congress. These escalations significantly improved Biden's image and he for the first time was seen by Democrats as with a spine. Biden capitalized on the momentum throughout early 2024 along with a recovering economy to improve his standing. His approvals surged and reached 45% approval by June 2024. Meanwhile, the GOP primary ended up a lot shorter than political junkies hoped (Atlas map lovers cried for six months) After 2022 with the strong midterm, Trump felt emboldened to declare his candidacy...and that was mostly that. Although some figures did try to challenge Trump (Haley and Cruz both did) it went about as well as you could expect. By June 2024 the obvious battle began, with Biden/Harris representing the newly motivated and angry Democrats, while Trump/Scott represented the Republican front. The campaign was even more bitter and divisive than 2020, and political violence actually did occur in some parts. Biden also used this as an opportunity to run against the unpopular GOP Congress, hoping his efforts would help Democrats recover their trifecta. Otherwise, major issues included gun control, environmental issues, and of course the economy (which was still in its strong recovery mode) And now it is November, 7:00 EST, and soon the first results will come.

Ted Cruz won't run against Trump.

Did DeSantis run in the primary BTW?

[Tekken_Guy]

Doing this because sometimes, the best part of election night is the suspense. Every post will be 5 minutes of election night coverage, this is a slow burn so feel free to tune out and come back periodically to check it out (just like many on regular election night tbh) I will cover Presidential, Senate, and House races.

Background: With the overturning of Roe vs Wade, Democrats hoped that Biden approval polls which were stagnant in low 30's approval would not be reflective of the actual result of the GCB which showed a near dead tie in polling. Unfortunately, due to a worsening economy (even with inflation reducing, a recession was underway by November) The voters were not so keen to give Democrats power again. 2022 resulted in a national house vote of approximately R+6. Not as bad as many doomers thought, but still more than enough for the GOP to sweep the House and Senate.

2022 House results:
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=gore


2022 Senate Results:
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=gosc

Did you mean for Gottheimer/Kim to lose instead of Malinowski?

Yes definitely. I def made that map in a rush lol.

Do all three lose then?

[Tekken_Guy]

Doing this because sometimes, the best part of election night is the suspense. Every post will be 5 minutes of election night coverage, this is a slow burn so feel free to tune out and come back periodically to check it out (just like many on regular election night tbh) I will cover Presidential, Senate, and House races.

Background: With the overturning of Roe vs Wade, Democrats hoped that Biden approval polls which were stagnant in low 30's approval would not be reflective of the actual result of the GCB which showed a near dead tie in polling. Unfortunately, due to a worsening economy (even with inflation reducing, a recession was underway by November) The voters were not so keen to give Democrats power again. 2022 resulted in a national house vote of approximately R+6. Not as bad as many doomers thought, but still more than enough for the GOP to sweep the House and Senate.

2022 House results:
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=gore


2022 Senate Results:
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=gosc

Did you mean for Gottheimer/Kim to lose instead of Malinowski?

Yes definitely. I def made that map in a rush lol.

Do all three lose then?

[Tekken_Guy]

NJ 7 flips, NJ 5 holds but barely.

What about NJ 3?