2020: Elizabeth Warren the Democratic nominee
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2020: Elizabeth Warren the Democratic nominee
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Author Topic: 2020: Elizabeth Warren the Democratic nominee  (Read 755 times)
Blow by blow, the passion dies
LeonelBrizola
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« on: July 22, 2022, 05:20:20 AM »

Discuss with maps.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2022, 06:04:54 AM »

Warren isn't as strong a candidate as Biden, but she does better with progressives compared to Biden, and despite a slight drop in black support, which costs her Georgia, and failing to flip Arizona, she does just as well as Biden in the Rust Belt, sweeping all other battlegrounds (except for North Carolina).

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)/Former Senator Russ Feingold (D-WI) 52%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) 47%
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2022, 09:33:44 AM »

I don't like saying it, though I believe Warren would have lost to Trump. Other than Biden, I believe only Sanders, Booker and Klobuchbar had a serious shot at winning.



✓ President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 311 EVs.; 48.1%
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)/Former HUD Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX): 227 EVs.; 48.9%
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2022, 12:34:27 PM »


President Donald Trump (R-FL) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) ✓
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) / Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)
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UWS
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« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2022, 06:40:10 PM »

Trump wins. In fact, Warren is a bad fit to appeal among Hispanic and African-American voters, so Trump wins Georgia and Arizona and flips Nevada. I think Trump also wins the Midwestern states, especially since Warren's call to ban fracking would likely hurt her in Pennsylvania.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/policy-2020/climate-change/fracking-ban/

As a result, Trump wins with at 312 EVs
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #5 on: November 15, 2022, 06:57:15 PM »

Warren takes what Biden won, and adds North Carolina
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2022, 07:38:39 AM »

I think her best case scenario is 2016 with Michigan flipped. Her worst case scenario is what A-S posted, which is 2016 with Nevada flipped.
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