GA: AJC/UGA - Warnock +3

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://www.ajc.com/politics/ajc-poll-kemp-warnock-hold-slim-leads-in-georgias-top-races/JDJ5PK2PYVFSHNOMNUFGGYUGYI/

AJC/UGA, July 14-22, 902 LV

Warnock 46
Walker 43

Kemp 48
Abrams 43

[SnowLabrador]

Warnock should be up by way more. I get that this is a Biden midterm, but come on. Walker can barely string together a sentence.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Both are headed for a Runoff in Jan and if Kennedy in LS doesn't get 50 he heads to a Dec Runoff

[Sir Mohamed]

Warnock should be up by way more. I get that this is a Biden midterm, but come on. Walker can barely string together a sentence.

If he was up by more, you'd say the poll was unrealistic and garbage.

That said, Warnock leading by 3 while Kemp is up 5 is good news, though 46% is not as good as 50%.

Tilt D -> Tilt D

[Alben Barkley]

I think this poll might have just given Democrats the lead in the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

I think this poll might have just given Democrats the lead in the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast.

I think that was the PA poll yesterday (Fetterman up to 57).

[Horus]

Looks accurate.

[President Johnson]

I think this poll might have just given Democrats the lead in the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast.

I think that was the PA poll yesterday (Fetterman up to 57).

Odds were 50-50 yesterday, now it's 51-49 in the Democrats' favor.

However, somehow Walker has now a 54% chance, and it was just 53% yesterday? I think that's a bit off, just as Mark Kelly having a 61% chance.

[Xing]

More believable than Warnock +9, though still probably on the upper end of realistic possibilities. Toss-Up.

[Yoda]

Warnock should be up by way more. I get that this is a Biden midterm, but come on. Walker can barely string together a sentence.

Does that really surprise you? He's no worse than trump was. His rant a few weeks ago about "bad Chinese air" and "our good air" reminded me of trump's deranged rants about windmill cancer and low-flow shower heads. Republican voters are so brainwashed that they will vote for any warm body with an R next to their name. Bonus points if they brag about how they don't read anything and how much they hate the educated.