When will be the next time a Democratic President appoint a man to the Supreme Court? (user search)
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  When will be the next time a Democratic President appoint a man to the Supreme Court? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When will be the next time a Democratic President appoint a man to the Supreme Court?  (Read 2221 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: July 22, 2022, 08:03:04 AM »

Almost surely not to replace an existing liberal woman, and probably not until after there is already a majority-female court.  I'm not sure what would happen if there was a majority-female court because of multiple conservative women (say a woman replaces Thomas or Alito when they retire under Republicans) and then a Democrat gets to replace a conservative man. 
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2022, 04:10:22 AM »

I'm far more interested in wondering about the next time a GOP President will appoint A Not Catholic, myself.

Gorsuch*
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2022, 03:32:37 PM »

I'm far more interested in wondering about the next time a GOP President will appoint A Not Catholic, myself.

Gorsuch*

Gorsuch was raised Catholic and stayed high-church upon switching denominations, so I'm still counting him here.

Gorsuch, while typically siding with religious interests, comes across to me as the least personally religious of the six Republican appointed justices (certainly at least of the five justice Dobbs majority).

Yes, because his mother was powerful and he developed somewhat of a respect for women who work, as opposed to the rest of the sexist clowns.

Kavanaugh's mom was an attorney, and she pursued it after he was born.  Barrett obviously has a job, and FWIW has always had a more prestigious one relative to her husband.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2022, 05:34:31 PM »

The ones who care will probably be happy with a 5:4 woman-to-man ratio.

I do think it stops being an issue at that point.  IMO a Republican will want to make a show of appointing the 5th woman and will do it when Thomas or Alito retires.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2022, 09:07:59 PM »
« Edited: September 14, 2022, 09:19:15 PM by Skill and Chance »

I am legitimately expecting the next nominee to either be a Latino man or an East Asian man.

James Ho from the 5th circuit would be a conservative dream nominee.  If Republicans get to replace Alito and Thomas with a substantial senate majority, I think they would pick Britt Grant and James Ho.  Given conservative disappointment with Roberts and some lesser degree of disappointment with Gorsuch and Kavanaugh, I think there will be a lot of pressure to avoid picking anyone who lives in or grew up in D.C.  Also, the major GOP constituency that's currently missing a seat on SCOTUS is Southern Evangelicals. 

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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2022, 05:37:04 PM »

I'm far more interested in wondering about the next time a GOP President will appoint A Not Catholic, myself.

It is weird because Catholics are more split down the middle but are a tilt dem voting block. If they voted the way evangelicals voted then at least 50-60% of America would be Republican.

Catholicism is really into using formal logic and natural law arguments compared to other Christian denominations.  It's not at all surprising Catholics would be overrepresented as lawyers and judges.   
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2022, 08:40:01 PM »

Remember when people said Democrats would never nominate a straight white man for President again, but then they elected Joe Biden, with Bernie Sanders the runner-up?

Yeah it’s almost like presidential elections are not the same as Senate-confirmed appointments.

Yes, there has been a longstanding tendency to reserve Supreme Court seats for certain groups to maintain political coalitions.  100+ years ago, this was based on religion (the expectation was there would be at least one Catholic and at least one Jewish person on the court).  In the current environment, from the Democratic standpoint, it would be very difficult to replace an existing justice who is not a white man with a white man.   From the Republican standpoint, there  will probably be a lot of pressure for the next nominee to be an Evangelical Christian (currently unrepresented on the court). 
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