ELECTION PREDICTIONS OFFICIAL 2022 Senate Predictions
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  ELECTION PREDICTIONS OFFICIAL 2022 Senate Predictions
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Author Topic: ELECTION PREDICTIONS OFFICIAL 2022 Senate Predictions  (Read 2613 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 21, 2022, 07:42:00 AM »

The Metrics that this Channel is using seem reasonable to me.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17GB1uLv4tEwojwz5GXmvzG0f5fjfk1b3Q1cTbGB5CHo/edit#gid=111764548

RACE 1

Senator Raphael Warnock (D, Incumbent) vs Herschel Walker (R)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgYJYfGNq1s

EPO predicts it will go to a Runoff. However 4,575,000 Total Votes seem a bit too high for me.

GA had one of the strongest Turnouts in 2018 in a Non-Presidential Year with 3,9M+ Votes and he is saying the State will exceed their 2018 Turnout. I don't think so.

Next Race: INDIANA (Todd Young, R vs Tom McDermott, D)

Chime in here if you have thoughts!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2022, 08:47:46 AM »

Nothing is final until we actually vote yeah the models had D's netting H seats in 2020 and we lost seats it's a 303 map anyways Rs aren't getting 54 Seats maybe 50 but certainly not 54
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2022, 04:20:49 PM »

ELECTION PREDICTION OFFICIAL predicted 34 out of the 35 Senate Races correctly. The only Race Founder Ryan Gest missed was the GA Runoff.

Watch his entire Senate Predictions here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TVxvy_IGvqQ&t=2s
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 87,798
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2022, 02:12:54 PM »

He gotten WARNOCK race wrong because Approvals matter and just like Tester, Manchin, Brown, Beshear and Cooper replacement Stein they all have Stella 46/30 Approvals Beshear dad was former Gov and just like DeSantis whom handled IAN well Beshear has a 62/36 Approvals for handling Tornados


If it goes by partisan trends Laura Kelly would of lost and Ron Johnson would of lost Johnson and Vance won with 37/51 APPROVALS

Laura Kelly, CCM, and Warnock have 46/30 Approvals, Vance piggy back off of DeWine 60/40 APPROVALS

All R users predicted KS GOV an R22 to go R and it went left because Sebelius won 2 T
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