Ohio redistricting thread
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October 04, 2022, 04:21:50 AM
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  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  Ohio redistricting thread
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Author Topic: Ohio redistricting thread  (Read 56070 times)
Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #1300 on: August 05, 2022, 11:08:34 AM »

Nah they don't have to sink Cincinnati. You can actually put it in a right trending district.



In this map every district but #2 swung to the right for Republicans based on PVI.
OH-1: R+2 to R+4
OH-2: R+13 to R+11
OH-3: R+8 to R+10
OH-4: R+15 to R+16
OH-5: R+14 to R+14
OH-7: R+7 to R+15
OH-8: R+9 to R+16
OH-9: R+8 to R+10
OH-10: R+3 to R+8
OH-11: R+3 to R+8
OH-12: R+1 to R+3
OH-13: R+7 to R+10
OH-14: R+3 to R+8
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ProgressiveModerate
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1301 on: August 05, 2022, 02:12:39 PM »

That map looks illegal cause Columbus appears to be split 3 ways and certain individual districts appear to have too many county splits, namely CD-05.
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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
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Posts: 1,817
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: -1.57

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« Reply #1302 on: August 05, 2022, 07:06:23 PM »
« Edited: August 05, 2022, 07:13:32 PM by Coastal Elitist »

That map looks illegal cause Columbus appears to be split 3 ways and certain individual districts appear to have too many county splits, namely CD-05.
Nope Columbus is only split twice and there are only eleven counties that are split on the map. I followed all the splitting rules in the amendment. All the large cities are intact as well.
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ProgressiveModerate
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1303 on: August 05, 2022, 08:46:27 PM »

That map looks illegal cause Columbus appears to be split 3 ways and certain individual districts appear to have too many county splits, namely CD-05.
Nope Columbus is only split twice and there are only eleven counties that are split on the map. I followed all the splitting rules in the amendment. All the large cities are intact as well.

Ok mb. Then ye, something like that technically works if you push aside the partisan fairness requirements (which are vauge and a Conservative Court would likely be leniant on).

When Rs wrote the amendment, I think they did so knowing that it would still allow them to persue close to a maximal gerrymander, especially since the Amendment basically forces a Cleveland pack and doesn't regulate how much any individual County can be split.

Is the political willpower there to go full 13-2? I'm not sure, especially cause their intial maps weren't or at least kept a few districts sorta competative for incumbent wants such as OH-15 taking in banks in Columbus or letting Turner pretty much keep his same district. Part of it may depend upon who wins the House in 2022 and who wins several key Ohio House races. The best case scenario for Dems in a redrawn House map would be if Rs have a big congressional majority they feel comfortable with yet Dems still flip OH-01 and hold OH-09, meaning the GOP might not be as aggressive in ridding of them than if the House is close or if Dems outright win the House.
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