When will Texas turn blue
ملكة كرينجيتوك:
Quote from: Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil on July 15, 2022, 01:56:37 PM
Quote from: Old School Republican on July 15, 2022, 01:54:26 PM
https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1388453436648210437var scriptTag = document.getElementsByTagName('script');scriptTag = scriptTag[scriptTag.length-1];atlas_tweetCheckLoad(scriptTag.parentNode, "tw_0_15574622251002425285", "tw_2_1899745793171251187", "https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1388453436648210437");
-snip-
Are Asians counted as "Other/Unknown" here? Because Forsyth County has a sizable Asian population, attracted in part due to the perceived quality of the area's public schools.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwinnett_County,_Georgia#Demographics
Per Wikipedia, Gwinnett County was ~32.5% NHW, 27% Black, 13% Asian, 23% Latino, and 4.5% everything else in the 2020 census. The split in that chart is 40% White + 50% Nonwhite + 10% Other.
To answer the OP: I don't think TX will ever become a reliably D state, but I can definitely see it voting for a Dem presidential nominee in 2028.
TDAS04:
I'm guessing 2032.
Tekken_Guy:
Quote from: Atomic-Statism on July 15, 2022, 01:22:16 PM
Quote from: MABA 2020 on July 15, 2022, 03:23:13 AM
Conceivably 2028 under a big Democratic victory, don't think thats very likely though
This is where I'm leaning. My current thinking is that 2028 will probably be the fallout of a second Trump administration with a more articulate and inspiring Democrat like Ruben Gallego at the helm, so it would almost be a fluke. But absent that, Texas becomes a swing state- never totally blue, Republicans would probably change their platform before conceding that many electoral votes- later on in the 2030s.
I believe DeSantis will be president in 2028 and easily hold onto Texas in his re-election bid.
dw93:
2028 is plausible only if a Republican wins 2024 and completely sh*ts the bed for four years. Otherwise, 2032 or 2036 is more likely.
Person Man:
Quote from: dw93 on July 17, 2022, 10:10:09 PM
2028 is plausible only if a Republican wins 2024 and completely sh*ts the bed for four years. Otherwise, 2032 or 2036 is more likely.
This. I can see Texas being the Colorado of the early 2000s, the state that Democrats target and keep losing, but eventually something gives.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
[*] Previous page