Is it really? If Wexton loses this year and the state votes GOP in 2024 in a non-landslide, maybe you can stay that. But at that point it is more of a purple or media red state than a blue state.
There was not backlash to most of the progressive legislation passed under Northam, but there was backlash on wedge issues like school closures, threats of business closures in a pro business state with some of the best public schools in the nation being located in Northern Va.
Maybe of the Biden _+10 or above states it is.