Why is New Mexico so Democratic?
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  Why is New Mexico so Democratic?
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Author Topic: Why is New Mexico so Democratic?  (Read 739 times)
Cyrusman
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« on: July 06, 2022, 07:33:01 PM »

New Mexico voted more or less as democrat as Colorado and Virginia did in 2020 and before 2020 it was even more democrat than Colorado. While Colorado and Virginia have the fundamentals of a state favorable to Democrats, New Mexico doesn’t.

The state
- has a lot of white working class voters
- large number of Hispanic working class voters
- not very educated in comparison to other states
- Albuquerque is nowhere near as large as Denver, Phoenix, San Antonio, Vegas, other western big cities
- NM still has plenty of small towns, rural areas
- produces oil and is not what you would consider an “environmentalist state/ green energy state”

Why is it so democratic?
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2022, 07:39:43 PM »
« Edited: July 07, 2022, 06:11:06 PM by Tintrlvr »

New Mexico voted more or less as democrat as Colorado and Virginia did in 2020 and before 2020 it was even more democrat than Colorado. While Colorado and Virginia have the fundamentals of a state favorable to Democrats, New Mexico doesn’t.

The state
- has a lot of white working class voters

Not really true; the white vote in Albuquerque and Santa Fe is quite well-off. Whites in eastern NM are lower income, true, but there aren't that many of them, and rural whites being conservative is nothing new. There's also a degree of some of the lower-income, lower-education white voters being culturally Democratic (and not traditional "white working class"), especially in the post-hippie communities in the north of the state. Being "white working class" in the West doesn't necessarily translate to being Republican, either, unlike in the East, due to different political histories; see Butte-Silver Bow, Montana.

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- large number of Hispanic working class voters

Indicative of being Democratic so not meaningful.

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- not very educated in comparison to other states

Mainly because of much higher Hispanic and Native American populations than any other state; the white population is quite educated.

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- Albuquerque is nowhere near as large as Denver, Phoenix, San Antonio, Vegas, other western big cities


Lots of smaller western cities are quite Democratic as well; you have to look at demographics. And Albuquerque is more Hispanic than any of the cities you named except San Antonio.

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- NM still has plenty of small towns, rural areas

Most of the population is still in the cities, and a lot of the rural areas are heavily Hispanic and/or Native American, which helps offset the conservative rural white vote. Rural and small-town Hispanics and Native Americans are solidly Democratic in other states, too. There are also some hippie-white rural votes in the north of the state.

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- produces oil and is not what you would consider an “environmentalist state/ green energy state”

The oil industry is not that important to most of the voters. The oil and gas producing areas are quite Republican but just aren't that big.

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Why is it so democratic?

See above.
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2022, 08:46:15 PM »

While Colorado and Virginia have the fundamentals of a state favorable to Democrats, New Mexico doesn’t.

me on my way to show this to the nbc decision desk in 1996
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2022, 09:20:52 PM »

Yeah a bit over 1/3rd of NM is basically ALBQ, which doesn't really have any R suburbs.

Santa Fe is also very liberal and Native Americans and Rural Hispanics still net Dems a lot of votes; this isn't like RGV.

The Southeast corner of the state is growing relatively fast though, which should concern Dems, but currently, doesn't really have the numbers needed to outvote the rest of the state.
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #4 on: July 06, 2022, 09:58:16 PM »

Yeah a bit over 1/3rd of NM is basically ALBQ, which doesn't really have any R suburbs.

Valencia County arguably counts, and Rio Rancho in Sandoval County is slightly R-leaning, but their collective raw votes are more than balanced out by the Navajo Nation, hippies in Taos and Santa Fe, etc.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: July 06, 2022, 10:07:53 PM »

Same reason Utah isn't. Internal fundamentals that supersede the external.
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