FL-27 - SEA Polling (Taddeo internal): Salazar +2

[Gracile]

https://www.cbsnews.com/miami/news/taddeo-poll-claims-dead-heat-with-salazar/

Maria Elvira Salazar (R-inc) 47%
Annette Taddeo (D) 45%

400 registered voters, 5%
"late May"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is being targeted

[wesmoorenerd]

Yeah this ain't flipping

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Yeah this ain't flipping

This poll was from back in May; it’s probably a dead heat now

[wesmoorenerd]

Yeah this ain't flipping

This poll was from back in May; it’s probably a dead heat now

Still a Taddeo internal. She's a fine candidate, but so is Salazar, and this is a Trump district now. Her best chance at winning would come with some kind of reversion to the mean among Cubans.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Charlie Crist is leading DeSantis and DeSantis is losing in the Prez GE to Harris and Biden FL is a purple state just like OH and NC are it's not a red state Trump only won it by 3 and NC by 1.5 that's MOE

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

All things considered, this is a decent internal.

[Xing]

Might not be flippable this year, though it’s definitely winnable for Democrats in a better year for their party.

[S019]

Yeah this ain't flipping

This poll was from back in May; it’s probably a dead heat now

Still a Taddeo internal. She's a fine candidate, but so is Salazar, and this is a Trump district now. Her best chance at winning would come with some kind of reversion to the mean among Cubans.

Looking at some old elections, Biden's performance was unusually weak in Miami-Dade with even 2014 row office Democrats (who all lost in landslides statewide) doing a point or two better. I'm not saying it will happen, but too many people underrate the possibility of it happening. It's similar to how people thought Cubans were gone for Republicans for the foreseeable future after Clinton's performance. The only conclusions we can draw thus far imo are that Cubans are a swing demographic and that Democrats need to actually put in work to win them over.

[Sir Mohamed]

Internal and outdated, but if she can't even lead in an internal, it's very unlikely to flip. Likely R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Internal and outdated, but if she can't even lead in an internal, it's very unlikely to flip. Likely R.

Lol O posted an article about Biden Approvals and D's outpacing Biden Approvals

https://www.yahoo.com/news/pressures-mounting-biden-thinks-gop-083857609.html

[lfromnj]

Yeah this ain't flipping

This poll was from back in May; it’s probably a dead heat now

Still a Taddeo internal. She's a fine candidate, but so is Salazar, and this is a Trump district now. Her best chance at winning would come with some kind of reversion to the mean among Cubans.

Looking at some old elections, Biden's performance was unusually weak in Miami-Dade with even 2014 row office Democrats (who all lost in landslides statewide) doing a point or two better. I'm not saying it will happen, but too many people underrate the possibility of it happening. It's similar to how people thought Cubans were gone for Republicans for the foreseeable future after Clinton's performance. The only conclusions we can draw thus far imo are that Cubans are a swing demographic and that Democrats need to actually put in work to win them over.

His performance in fl 27th wasn't really unusually weak. Pretty close to average.