Election models megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 06:52:08 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Election models megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Election models megathread  (Read 22714 times)
Utah Neolib
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,975
Antarctica


« on: June 30, 2022, 01:07:49 PM »
The house forecast is almost funny in some places. How is Valadao less favored than Garcia to win re-election? How is every democrat in Nevada favored? ME-2 actually makes sense though, and so does some other seats. The senate forecast’s odds for winning individual seats are obviously off, but their likelihood of actually winning the senate seems fairly decent for being somewhat early.
Logged
Utah Neolib
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,975
Antarctica


« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2022, 11:30:50 AM »
« Edited: August 10, 2022, 06:25:21 PM by Utah Neolib »
Something random I noticed - since 2016, the fourth most likely outcome in the Classic model was the outcome that ultimately occurred. (In the senate)
Logged
Utah Neolib
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,975
Antarctica


« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2022, 06:19:05 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 07, 2022, 04:29:37 PM

Interesting, it's a bit more bullish on Demings, Ryan, and Beasley than I would've expected. Only a bit bearish on Barnes, but that's to be expected.
Didn’t they have Missouri as Toss-up or Lean R when the model came out in 2020?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 10 queries.