Will Allan Fung win RI-02?

[Tekken_Guy]

Will Allan Fung win RI-02?

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

If he doesn't, he loses by no more than 3 points

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

No

[Politics Fan]

Unlikely, even though RI has “trended” somewhat Rep over the last six years or so RI-2 is still a fairly leftist seat and still was Biden by double digits. Fung is a good candidate for reps but if he couldn’t win an open seat gov race in 2014 I don’t see how he can get enough Biden voters to back him to win this year.

[Vosem]

Most likely, yeah. It's a few points out from the VA/NJ results, Biden's approval has correspondingly declined, and it's an area that's been routinely pretty open to voting for Republicans downballot.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Most likely, yeah. It's a few points out from the VA/NJ results, Biden's approval has correspondingly declined, and it's an area that's been routinely pretty open to voting for Republicans downballot.

I agree that it could def be vulnerable, but historically RI-02 really hasn't shown any R downballot strength in 2020. Langevin has consistently had really impressive performances considering how it's voted on the Presidential level, and on the state legistlature Dems do pretty good in RI as a whole unlike neighboring CT where many areas have dramatic R overperformances. And obivously the last few RI senate races have been dem blowouts

What's a real example of where the district has been willing to vote more R downballot on any sort of federal race?

[Xing]

It could happen, though I’d rate it Tilt/Lean D for now.

[GALeftist]

No lol

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Very unlikely.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No

[It's not just that you are a crook senator]

Lean D close to likely than tossup. If this falls, dems will have a horrendous night

[smoltchanov]

Lean no, but it will be close. Would he really be a "New England Republican" (fiscally conservative, socially liberal) - he would have better chances..

[NewYorkExpress]

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

Nah, Annie Kuster is pretty much safe.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

Nah, Annie Kuster is pretty much safe.

Why is she? Her district isn’t even Biden + 10 and her 2020 performance was “meh”

She def is a clear favourite thouhh

[TDAS04]

Probably not.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

Nah, Annie Kuster is pretty much safe.

Why is she? Her district isn’t even Biden + 10 and her 2020 performance was “meh”

She def is a clear favourite thouhh

Look at how she did in 2014. Also, compared to RI-02, she's a decently popular incumbent.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

Nah, Annie Kuster is pretty much safe.

Why is she? Her district isn’t even Biden + 10 and her 2020 performance was “meh”

She def is a clear favourite thouhh

Look at how she did in 2014. Also, compared to RI-02, she's a decently popular incumbent.

2014 is irrelevent at this point. She underperformed Biden in 2020. By logic shouldn't Kildee be safe because he got nearly 70% of the vote in 2014?

[Mr.Phips]

This is one where Dems are going to have to spend quite a bit of money reminding normally Dem voters that voting for Fung equals Speaker McCarthy.  That should be just enough to win here for Dems, but maybe not.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is one where Dems are going to have to spend quite a bit of money reminding normally Dem voters that voting for Fung equals Speaker McCarthy.  That should be just enough to win here for Dems, but maybe not.

In Midterms the South becomes more D and Northeast is more Republican that's the nature of Midterms that's why Crist iand Ryan are leading and D's are having trouble in NH Gov and RI but Golden and Mills are leading and SUNUNU and Scott always start out at 70/30 and iit gets closer in the end Sununu isn't ahead more than 51/44 not 70/30 because the NH Sen race will go into the Gov race


Just because Rs get the Speakership doesn't mean anything there is a Filibuster in the Sen and Biden can veto any bill all the Speakership means is the Rs can shutdown Govt and force compromise of Spending bills

Rs are so giddy about a Speakership and it's likely gonna be 230 Rs and D's can win 12 seats back in 24/26

If they get the Speakership these are pre Election polls not result's

[Schiff for Senate]

No.

I think there's a better chance of both New Hampshire districts flipping than this one.

Fair enough.