MI-07 (GOP/NRCC internal): Barrett +2

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1540320866407432192

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/gop-poll-michigan-2022-election-00042106

[Matty]

Kyle klondik thinks on the surface the poll is reasonable

Slotkin outrunning Biden by 8 but just too underwater

[GALeftist]

Pretty good poll for Slotkin honestly. Slotkin has a proven ability to outrun baseline partisanship so I can believe that she's significantly outrunning Biden. However, it does show that she has a lot of room to fall. Tilt R, close to tossup.

[UncleSam]

Good poll for Slotkin, it’s an internal. She’s a really strong campaigner (actually, not the Atlas meme) and I say that from personal interactions with her. If Dems are within ten on the generic ballot here I think she can pull it out. The MI GOP is rapidly becoming the FL Dems.

[Gracile]

I think Slotkin is the type of candidate who could make this closer than the fundamentals indicate, but I have a hard time seeing her pulling out a win.

[Politician]

Likely R

[wbrocks67]

Likely R

yeah, you're going on ignore. i don't need an RNC fan account in every single thread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map anyways the Rs are Favs 0/10 H seats not 25 seats and D's are Favs in the S PA,WI anyways so saying polls are Lean R is redundant, anyways, we are gonna do very well in the S and the Govs and Rs are gonna do well in the H, but October is where we will see if it's a blue or red wave or it's a neutral cycle

Outside chance we flip OH Sen and FL because 2018 they bucked the trends as well as KS Vance and DeSantis are gonna get 1/3 percent of Blk vote it's 15 PERCENT in OH and FL that's why DeSantis almost lost to Gillum and Renacci lost so badly to Brown 6 pts and Mandel did in 2012 too to Brown, OH may flip D in 24 D because Brown is on the ballot

Ryan and Crist appeal to Gillum and Brown voters that we won in 2018

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am skeptical about MI polls because Whitmer is leading by a  wide margin and Rs are leading in the swing H districts MI always have suspect polls, always

All the Favs that show Biden at 36 are wrong even in NC the Approvals are 42 PERCEBT