Not including the Legal Marijuana Now and Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis candidates on the poll make it kind of junky given the success of those two parties in Minnesota. Grassroots got 5.8% in this district in the 2020 election.
As I've explained before, those parties are really just a generic "someone else" option for protest votes and not really based around marijuana-obsessed voters, and as Mike noted thus mostly just attract votes from people who voted for other races, (for example look at the 2020 Senate race, they clearly took just as many votes from Trump voters as Biden ones and clearly more outstate) so there probably won't be much support for them for a special election. Yes the primary is the same day but people showing up for that will mostly be die-hard partisans.
This race is still likely Finstad but as I have been saying all along it's going to be closer than the general consensus. Single digit race IMO.
Yeah I think a lot of people don't understand how polarized this district is. Rochester and the college towns give the DFL a much higher floor than you'd expect in such a seat.