FabrizioWard (R)/Impact (D) poll of PENNSYLVANIA: Fetterman +6

[wbrocks67]

Favorabilities confirm the USAT/Suffolk poll.

Terrible poll for Biden with 36/61 approval, so Fetterman really strongly outperforming him here.

Also thank god for 94% total decided. Way better than the Suffolk one with 10%+ undecided.

[wbrocks67]

Lmao, Lean Democratic at least. If Republicans can't even lead with such Biden approvals, it means that they nominated terrible candidates and Democrats nominated great candidates.

I'd still take nothing for granted as the election is just in five months. Momentum in Pennsylvania is definitely on Shapiro's and Fetterman's side for now, which is also reflected in fundraising numbers.

Mastriano, widely regarded as insane, is within 3 points of Shapiro and Republican waves typically peak in the fall..

Hm, interesting to suggest momentum is on Shapiro's side.

Widely regarded as insane to people who know him. There's quite a bit of people at this point who probably think he's just generic R.

Not to mention, Mastriano is leading Indies by 18% which seems.... incredibly unlikely.

[wbrocks67]

If polls are somewhat underestimating Republicans as they have in PA the past several cycles, it's actually going to be a Fetterman/Mastriano victory LOL

RCP average was actually pretty spot on in 2020

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html

[wbrocks67]

Did you guys look at the crosstabs? Oz is +12 with indies, he's probably going to win this (although he's a bad enough candidate he could easily lose).

we've already talked about this a couple times in this thread. is it so hard for people to just read prior posts?

the sample for Indies is likely very small here, so take the # with a grain of salt. this result is very different from the Suffolk result, likely a result of both being small sample sizes