But what about the red wave....
This race was always going to be close. Wisconsin is the ultimate purple state and Johnson really is a flawed incumbent. Belongs up there with Arizona, Georgia and Nevada in likelihood to flip.
It really feels like people are not ready to have the conversation that Johnson is one of the worst candidates for the GOP in a swing state in the entire country.
He’s a two-term incumbent who outran the top of the ticket by 3-4 points the last time he was on the ballot (against a former senator, no less). He also has consistent trailed in polling before only to win comfortably.
Color me a bit skeptical if I don’t take polls showing him in a statistical tie as very good indicators for the Dems here. Maybe this cycle will buck the trend of polls underestimating Rs in WI, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
Ron Johnson of 2022 is not the same Ron Johnson of 2016. And we are in an even more polarized environment than 6 years ago. I get your points, but some just don't apply in the same way anymore.
Yeah this is what I keep saying. Johnson was a strong conservative in 2016 but he wasn't saying the outrageously crazy things he is today
He was, you just weren't paying that much attention.
Johnson's also lucky this year that Biden is President and Putin invaded Ukraine.
Would you consider him favored in a Trump midterm as well?
He'd be DOA, just like he would've been if Hillary hadn't undercut Feingold's support so badly in Driftless.