WI-SEN (Marquette): Barnes +2 / close races
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April 23, 2024, 02:40:48 PM
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Author Topic: WI-SEN (Marquette): Barnes +2 / close races  (Read 1438 times)
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #50 on: June 25, 2022, 02:08:12 PM »

Johnson's also lucky this year that Biden is President and Putin invaded Ukraine.

Would you consider him favored in a Trump midterm as well?

In a Trump midterm he'd probably be a slight underdog, assuming we still had anything remotely resembling free and fair elections.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #51 on: June 25, 2022, 02:14:32 PM »

But what about the red wave....

This race was always going to be close. Wisconsin is the ultimate purple state and Johnson really is a flawed incumbent. Belongs up there with Arizona, Georgia and Nevada in likelihood to flip.

It really feels like people are not ready to have the conversation that Johnson is one of the worst candidates for the GOP in a swing state in the entire country.
He’s a two-term incumbent who outran the top of the ticket by 3-4 points the last time he was on the ballot (against a former senator, no less). He also has consistent trailed in polling before only to win comfortably.

Color me a bit skeptical if I don’t take polls showing him in a statistical tie as very good indicators for the Dems here. Maybe this cycle will buck the trend of polls underestimating Rs in WI, but I’ll believe it when I see it.

Ron Johnson of 2022 is not the same Ron Johnson of 2016. And we are in an even more polarized environment than 6 years ago. I get your points, but some just don't apply in the same way anymore.
Yeah this is what I keep saying. Johnson was a strong conservative in 2016 but he wasn't saying the outrageously crazy things he is today

He was, you just weren't paying that much attention.


Johnson's also lucky this year that Biden is President and Putin invaded Ukraine.

Would you consider him favored in a Trump midterm as well?

He'd be DOA, just like he would've been if Hillary hadn't undercut Feingold's support so badly in Driftless.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #52 on: June 26, 2022, 12:57:48 AM »

Johnson's also lucky this year that Biden is President and Putin invaded Ukraine.

Would you consider him favored in a Trump midterm as well?

In a Trump midterm he'd probably be a slight underdog, assuming we still had anything remotely resembling free and fair elections.

Lol the MQK poll has Johnson and Toomey not at 60% but 37% Approvals, Johnson is gonna LOSE, that's why Toomey retired he is underwater
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hyouzel the predictor
hyouzel
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« Reply #53 on: June 27, 2022, 06:28:42 PM »

Oh, Barnes at 46%? Johnson wins by 8.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #54 on: June 27, 2022, 10:01:34 PM »


Johnson is at 37% Approval rating iMQK polls he isn't at 60%
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