I've heard from some Florida politicos that internal polls of the FL Gov race are a lot closer than the public polls.
The people they surveyed probably anticipated the Dobbs decision, so that’s why.
Partisan trends don't act right in Midterms 2006 MO, VA and OH, 2014 D's lost CO Udall, 2018 OH, WVA, NH and MD and KS
FL 2010 Sink, Crist 2014, Gillum 2018 loss by 1 percent and Prez Election it's been 3/5 pts R, FL so it's not surprising that Crist is ahead by 1 he lost to Scott because Scott wasn't Trumpian, DeSantis is
We're not losing OR Gov but will lose NH Gov because Wyden is gonna win by more than Hassan