I know this is bold, but I believe that the data-primarily recent election results-are pointing to a neutral national environment, roughly in line with what the generic ballot says but not a Republican wave. Republicans only need 5 seats to win the majority and they are likely to get there, sealed by a late surge.
Republican: 220+7 48.5%(+0.8%)
Democratic: 215-7 49.1%(-1.7%)
https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/L5V91ZM
Landsman/Tony Vargas/Jared Golden would not lose with a popular vote like this
