Preliminary 2022 House Predictions (user search)
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November 26, 2022, 02:30:31 PM
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  Preliminary 2022 House Predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: Preliminary 2022 House Predictions  (Read 8349 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,352
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« on: August 30, 2022, 08:33:05 AM »


There are some mistakes I think. CA 01 and MI 09 are wrong they should be Red, WI 04 should be blue
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,352
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2022, 09:13:22 AM »

I know this is bold, but I believe that the data-primarily recent election results-are pointing to a neutral national environment, roughly in line with what the generic ballot says but not a Republican wave. Republicans only need 5 seats to win the majority and they are likely to get there, sealed by a late surge.
Republican: 220+7 48.5%(+0.8%)
Democratic: 215-7 49.1%(-1.7%)

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/L5V91ZM
Landsman/Tony Vargas/Jared Golden would not lose with a popular vote like this
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