Preliminary 2022 House Predictions

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Pericles:
I know this is bold, but I believe that the data-primarily recent election results-are pointing to a neutral national environment, roughly in line with what the generic ballot says but not a Republican wave. Republicans only need 5 seats to win the majority and they are likely to get there, sealed by a late surge.
Republican: 220+7 48.5%(+0.8%)
Democratic: 215-7 49.1%(-1.7%)

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/L5V91ZM

RussFeingoldWasRobbed:
Quote from: Pericles on November 06, 2022, 03:17:07 AM

I know this is bold, but I believe that the data-primarily recent election results-are pointing to a neutral national environment, roughly in line with what the generic ballot says but not a Republican wave. Republicans only need 5 seats to win the majority and they are likely to get there, sealed by a late surge.
Republican: 220+7 48.5%(+0.8%)
Democratic: 215-7 49.1%(-1.7%)

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/L5V91ZM


Landsman/Tony Vargas/Jared Golden would not lose with a popular vote like this

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