1992 and 1996 if perot never ran

[SPC]

1992:

Clinton 283-255

1996:

Clinton 291-247

[True Democrat]

If Perot never ran at all (meaning he didn't get in the race and then jump out):

1992:



311-227

1996:



384-154

[SPC]

What 1996 would look like if it was Clinton v. Bush I without Perot.  Basically, Bush I enters the race in an attempt to become another Grover Cleveland, only to be beaten even worse than in 1992.

Clinton 385-153

Clinton 52%
Bush I  47%


Bush I would gain NV, TN, and KY
Clinton would gain VA and FL

[True Democrat]

If Perot never ran at all (meaning he didn't get in the race and then jump out):

1992:



311-227

1996:



384-154

In the 1992 Race, why do you not have Ohio and Wisconsin in the Bush column. These states would have gone Bush without Perot. Also he would have won more of the east coast. Including Delaware, Connecticut, Maine. Vermont, and if he was lucky Pennsylvania.

Ohio and Wisconsin would have been very close, which is why I have them that way.  It would be all up to the undecideds in those states.  States like DE, CT, and VT all went through what I like to think of as "Clinton Revolution," much like the Reagan Revolution.  Before Clinton was President, all three of those states were belleweather states, but if you look at after the Clinton presidency, you can see that most of them are solidly Democratic states.  Clinton's moderatism on economics really appealed to the middle class in these states.