Canadian Election Results

[Justin]

Bill Mathews wins in  Random-Burin-St.George's Riding in NFLD.

[Justin]

Rex Barnes the Liberal Candidate has won in Bonavista-Exploits. But just to reiterate these are just incumbents winning thier seats. We still got a long way to go.

[Justin]

That would also be Peter Mckay's riding if IIRC.

[Justin]

CPC now leading in 4 Races. They now have ability to sqaure it all up.

[Justin]

Alexa won't lose. I know it's early; I was just gald

Lead just slipped in Central Nova

[Justin]

Lawrence O'Brien has just been declared winner in Labrador.

[Justin]

When does Quebec close its polls?

[Justin]

Actually both.

[Justin]

Numbers are begining to trickle out of Quebec. If the Bloc can freeze out the Liberals, the Conservatives have a chance in Ontario.

[Justin]

Raynald Blais has defeated the Liberal Incumbent in the Quebec riding of Gaspésie-Iles-de-la-Madeleine.

[Justin]

Indeed. It will be interesting how well the Bloc does now that they have gained a seat in Gasepie.

[Justin]

They will probobly air it off the CBC feed.

[Justin]

Barring any reversals on recount, 155+ for the LPC/NDP combination looks firm.  The CBC website shows 154 firm ridingsright now and at least one of the others, Western Arctcic is a firm tossup between the LPC and the NDP.  Still this is a parliament that could be brought down by a by-election or two even if the LPC and NDP don't want it.

Actually the NDP/LPC Coalition is exactly at 155 seats because the Liberals need to nominate a speaker of the house who does not vote unless there is a tie. Also, if martin is implicated in the Adscam and sponsorship scandals when the report is released we may see the NDP rethink it's posistion on an informal government. I don't think even then the NDP would stand in the way of a no confidence vote.

[Justin]

I think the Speaker of the House is the senior member of the Party in power.

[Justin]

Don't forget that the Conservatives and the other parties might wear down the liberals already tenuous hold on the Commons if they can win any By-elections that might result between now and the next election.

[Justin]

But things could change if the Sponsorship Scandal actually implicates Paul Martin. If it does, All bets are off as the Conservatives and the Bloc would introduce a motion of no confidence. Such a measure would make Jack Layton think twice about supporting Martin.

[Justin]

NDP/Liberal= 153 ( 154-1 seat for the Speaker)
Bloc/Conservative Opposistion 154 (153+1 Right of Center Independent)