GA: East Carolina University: Tied

[RI]

https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/georgia-senate-race-tied-kemp-leads-abrams-by-five

Walker 46
Warnock 46

[SnowLabrador]

I think Kemp will pull Walker over the finish line.

[2016]

Bad Poll for Warnock. Tied with Walker and at 46 %. Undecideds almost always move towards the Challenger in the end. Conclusion: Walker wins by 1-2 Points.

[2016]

I think Kemp will pull Walker over the finish line.

Most likely yes. As I've posted already Undecided Voters trend to move towards the Challenger at the end of the Campaign.

[President Johnson]

When Kemp is up five and Walker can just get it a tie, it's not a bad poll for Warnock. I think he has a winning chance of around 55%. Pure tossup, or slightly Tilt Democratic.

[2016]

President Bidens JA in GA is 38/54!!!

[President Johnson]

President Bidens JA in GA is 38/54!!!

Why do you use exclamation marks at the end of every poll?

[2016]

When Kemp is up five and Walker can just get it a tie, it's not a bad poll for Warnock. I think he has a winning chance of around 55%. Pure tossup, or slightly Tilt Democratic.

That's nonsense. Undecided Voters almost unanimously trend to move towards the Challenger, in this case Walker.

[2016]

President Bidens JA in GA is 38/54!!!

Why do you use exclamation marks at the end of every poll?

Because Warnock is not going to outrun Biden by 8 Points. No way, zero chance. He might outrun him by 2-4 like Michelle Nunn did with Obamas Approval in 2014 but not by 8.

[Buzz]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

[2016]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

I don't care if he is a bad Candidate or not. Republicans need that Seat to win back Senate Control.

[Senator Incitatus]

When Kemp is up five and Walker can just get it a tie, it's not a bad poll for Warnock. I think he has a winning chance of around 55%. Pure tossup, or slightly Tilt Democratic.

Only because you assume Kemp +5 is some outlier for Republicans; it's also perfectly possible Kemp wins by more.

[Unelectable Bystander]

Biden is clearly toxic in Georgia right now (running behind Warnock AND Abrams by 6 points!). This will be close and Walker needs 1 of 3 things to get across the finish line:

1) turn into a titan with suburban white voters like kemp

2) Get just enough undecided black men to give him a chance

3) Turn it into an election against Biden where nobody even thinks about the actual candidates

I struggle to think he can do 1 or 2, so #3 it is. He should invoke Biden’s name every time he speaks. Remind people that Warnock supports all of Biden’s policies and dare him to distance himself

[Devils30]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

Look at Kemp’s % in primary in Cobb Gwinnett Forsyth and north Fulton and compare to Walker. There is clearly a Kemp- Warnock potential here.

[TodayJunior]

Run off and then tilt Warnock

[Buzz]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

I don't care if he is a bad Candidate or not. Republicans need that Seat to win back Senate Control.

I will be voting for Walker, but there is many who will crossover

[Cyrusman]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

I don't care if he is a bad Candidate or not. Republicans need that Seat to win back Senate Control.

I will be voting for Walker, but there is many who will crossover

Does walker do better the Loeffler did in the suburbs? Also who would be the average Kemp/ Warnock voter ?

[NewYorkExpress]

Walker is a terrible candidate, don’t blame me if he loses, I voted Gary Black in the primary

I don't care if he is a bad Candidate or not. Republicans need that Seat to win back Senate Control.

I will be voting for Walker, but there is many who will crossover

Does walker do better the Loeffler did in the suburbs? Also who would be the average Kemp/ Warnock voter ?

Suburban Trump/Biden or possibly even Romney/Clinton/Biden voters might split their tickets in the Gubernatorial race for Kemp while voting for Warnock, or do so in reverse, voting for Walker and Abrams.

Both races should remain tossups at this point.

[Sir Mohamed]

Tossup remains tossup.

Warnock will for sure do better than Abrams. And even it's just 2-3 pts, it might make the difference.

[South Dakota Democrat]

When Kemp is up five and Walker can just get it a tie, it's not a bad poll for Warnock. I think he has a winning chance of around 55%. Pure tossup, or slightly Tilt Democratic.

That's nonsense. Undecided Voters almost unanimously trend to move towards the Challenger, in this case Walker.

The 90s called, they want their outdated political analysis back.

[Skill and Chance]

I think Kemp will pull Walker over the finish line.

If GA were a plurality-win state, sure.  While Kemp is doing well enough he should be fine getting a majority vs. Abrams, he isn't doing anywhere near well enough to keep Walker out of a runoff.