Yet another hypothetical states thread

[bagelman]

With this first state, I'm just going to post its congressional districts.

District 1:

2016: R+1
2020: D+9.85

Mainly urban/suburban, includes the state's third largest city. Longtime GOP incumbent lost in 2018 and the Democrat held on in 2020.

District 2:

2016: R+47.9
2020: R+44.9

Mainly rural, deeply conservative.

District 3:

2016: R+18
2020: R+10.3

Mainly suburban, unites a small city with the suburbs of the capital city and includes enough rural territory to make it fairly safely R.

District 4:

2016: D+21.9
2020: D+30.6

Urban district for the state's capital city.

District 5:

2016: R+29.7
2020: R+25

Mainly rural and small town

District 6:

2016: R+0.5
2020: D+4.4

Connects a medium-small size city with the suburbs of the state's second largest city. Longtime Dem incumbent lost in 2016 but came back in 2018.

District 7:

2016: R+27.7
2020: R+24.8

Mainly rural with some smaller cities

District 8:

2016: D+10
2020: D+14.6

Includes the state's second largest urban area.

Overall:

2016: R+11.5
2020: R+5.9

This is a fairly conservative state. All districts are white majority, districts 1/4/8 are all about 15-20% black and 1/4 are both 5-10% asian. Currently 4-4 regarding congressional representation.

[bagelman]

Another one, this time with only 7 districts. I'll add more detail to these states later, such as their names and other obvious information:

District 1:

2016: D+46.3
2020: D+40.4

This district is 48% black and 40% white. It unites 3 black majority urban areas.

District 2:

2016: R+37.5
2020: R+42.4

This district is mainly rural, but includes some neighborhoods that are overflow from district 1.

District 3:

2016: R+40.8
2020: R+47.7

Also mainly rural.

District 4:

2016: R+1.1
2020: R+9.1

Includes several smaller urban areas and some rural areas.

District 5:

2016: R+32.2
2020: R+39.2

Although there are some small cities, the core of this district is rural.

District 6:

2016: D+52.1
2020: D+43.8

This district hosts the largest city in the state along with its small neighbor, and it's 45% black and 42% white.

District 7:

2016: R+2.8
2020: R+9.4

Half of said smaller neighbor is in this district.

Overall:

2016: R+3.2
2020: R+11.3

By a margin of D+0.7 which was treated as a surprisingly close result, this state elected a Democrat governor in 2018. His margin of victory was surprisingly narrow and now it's clear why. His prospects in 2022 are dismal.