Emerson NY-Gov primaries: Hochul +40; Zeldin +18
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  Emerson NY-Gov primaries: Hochul +40; Zeldin +18
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Author Topic: Emerson NY-Gov primaries: Hochul +40; Zeldin +18  (Read 242 times)
President Johnson
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« on: June 14, 2022, 01:03:54 PM »
« edited: June 14, 2022, 03:46:48 PM by President Johnson »

Democratic primary
Kathy Hochul (inc.): 57%
Tom Suozzi: 17%
Jumaane Williams: 6%
Undecided: 20%

Republican primary
Lee Zeldin: 34%
Rob Astorino: 16%
Harry Wilson: 15%
Andrew Giuliani: 13%
Undecided: 22%

500 LV, June 9-10

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2022, 09:20:57 AM »

With leaners pushed, Hochul leads 63-25-11%; Zeldin leads 40-24-20-17%.

Looks like the nominations are de facto decided, it'll be a Hochul vs. Zeldin race. These few polls showing Giuliani ahead were possibly garbage. Really seems Williams has totally screwed up, makes me wonder why the dude even did pretty well in 2018?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2022, 09:35:16 AM »

How the hell is Hochul doing this well compared to Dan McKee (the other Democratic Governor who took over midterm) anyways?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2022, 09:45:37 AM »

How the hell is Hochul doing this well compared to Dan McKee (the other Democratic Governor who took over midterm) anyways?

Weaker competitors, high profile endorsements and exciting Dems for being the 1st female gov?

Additionally, NY is a large state where challengers need to raise a ton of money to compete and even get enough name rec. Being an incumbent for sure helps a lot more here.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2022, 09:53:30 AM »

With leaners pushed, Hochul leads 63-25-11%; Zeldin leads 40-24-20-17%.

Looks like the nominations are de facto decided, it'll be a Hochul vs. Zeldin race. These few polls showing Giuliani ahead were possibly garbage. Really seems Williams has totally screwed up, makes me wonder why the dude even did pretty well in 2018?

Lieutenant Governor is less well known and its a separate primary from Governor.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2022, 01:48:35 PM »

How the hell is Hochul doing this well compared to Dan McKee (the other Democratic Governor who took over midterm) anyways?

Weaker competitors, high profile endorsements and exciting Dems for being the 1st female gov?

Additionally, NY is a large state where challengers need to raise a ton of money to compete and even get enough name rec. Being an incumbent for sure helps a lot more here.

The fundraising issue in a large state as New York compared to a small state like Rhode Island is definitely an issue.

McKee also seems to be relatively moderate, drawing more opposition, while Hochul has adjusted her positions from a decade ago. She may also benefit from the fact that her opponents run to her left and right, while she's in the mainstream of the party.

It's definitely an accomplishment that she has managed to pull ahead so easily. While lt. governor, she was seen as low-profile and even when Cuomo was about to fall, she was still considered an underdog who may just serve as placeholder. However, I guess most people now feel she's up to the job. I hope she does well in November as well, which could help her gain a national profile.
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