dw93
DWL
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Posts: 4,881
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« on: June 10, 2022, 10:28:52 PM » |
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My guess is the 1972 nominee is either going to be Rockefeller or Reagan, with Humphrey having equal odds at beating both (Rocky for being a has been and Reagan due to being perceived as extreme). If Rockefeller is the one to lose to Humphrey, Reagan who's fresh after two terms as Governor of California beats VP Muskie, and likely goes on to lose in 1980.
If Reagan is the one HHH beats, a moderate Republican wins the election in 1976. They to are the odds favorite to lose in 1980, but have slightly better odds at winning than Reagan.
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