OH-GOV: Columbus Dispatch/Suffolk DeWine + 15
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Author Topic: OH-GOV: Columbus Dispatch/Suffolk DeWine + 15  (Read 898 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: June 02, 2022, 08:49:26 AM »

Governor Mike DeWine (R, Incumbent) 45 %
Nan Whaley (D) 30 %
https://eu.dispatch.com/story/news/2022/06/02/ohio-governor-poll-mike-dewine-beating-nan-whaley-2022-race/9829859002/
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2022, 08:51:35 AM »

This is going to be Kasich 2014 all over again
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2022, 03:37:17 PM »

Safe Republican.

DeWine is probably getting close 60% in the end or even slightly more than this.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2022, 04:48:35 PM »

Safe DeWine, obviously. A 15-point win seems about right though it might even be bigger than that.

This is going to be Kasich 2014 all over again

1. The margin will definitely be smaller than Kasich 2014.
2. Monroe County is Safe Republican this time.
3. Cuyahoga County is Safe Democratic this time.
4. DeWine will win less than 86 counties.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2022, 05:10:14 PM »
« Edited: June 02, 2022, 05:18:29 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

We can split some of these red states, BLKS are very fond of DeWinw but not JD Vance, OH split their vote in 2018 and we didn't win 80K votes state by state polls are very kind than Biden Approvals, Fetterman, CCM and Kelly are doing Quite well with Biden at 42 percent, but at the very least with Whitner lead so large it's not an R nut map where Rs sweep WI, MI and PA
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: June 04, 2022, 03:01:59 PM »

DeWine will probably exceed 55%. I could see him easily hitting 60% as President Johnson said.
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« Reply #6 on: June 04, 2022, 04:12:19 PM »

How the hell did he lose by 12 points in 2006?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2022, 04:22:02 PM »


Strickland beat Kenneth Blackwell bye 10 pts that's how Brown beat DeWine
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: June 04, 2022, 05:20:15 PM »


Blue Wave+the fallout of Bob Taft led to a toxic image of the Ohio GOP at the time.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2022, 04:26:10 AM »


Blue Wave+the fallout of Bob Taft led to a toxic image of the Ohio GOP at the time.

This.

Also remember this is not uncommon, Jay Nixon for example twice lost a senate bid by wide margins in 1988 and 1998, before winning two easy gubernatorial elections in 2008 and 2012.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2022, 05:03:31 AM »


Blue Wave+the fallout of Bob Taft led to a toxic image of the Ohio GOP at the time.

This.

Also remember this is not uncommon, Jay Nixon for example twice lost a senate bid by wide margins in 1988 and 1998, before winning two easy gubernatorial elections in 2008 and 2012.

I was actually reading about the 1986 Senate elections earlier. Henry McMaster carried a single county against Ernest Hollings. Now he's governor and poised to win in a blowout.

Larger gap, but still. It's remarkable that DeWine lost by as much as he did, only to make a comeback four years later and defeat Richard Cordray (the incumbent AG) by two points. Kasich beat Strickland by the same margin.
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Yoda
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« Reply #11 on: June 22, 2022, 11:09:11 AM »


Blue Wave+the fallout of Bob Taft led to a toxic image of the Ohio GOP at the time.

Also Sherrod Brown was the near-perfect candidate.
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